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Researchers Make One-Atom-Thin Electrical Generator

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A Sample Of Molybdenum Disulfide
Researchers from the Georgia Institute of Technology and Columbia Engineering have made the first experimental observation of piezoelectricity and the piezotronic effect in an atomically thin material, molybdenum disulfide (MoS2). Shown is a sample of the material that was tested as part of the research. The material could be the basis for unique electric generator and mechanosensation devices that are optically transparent, extremely light, and extremely bendable and stretchable.
Rob Felt/Georgia Tech

How thin can an electrical generator possibly be? Thanks to a study published yesterday in Nature, the answer is about as thin as possible. Using molybdenum disulfide, researchers from the Georgia Institute of Technology and Columbia Engineering proved that a layer just an atom thick can generate an electric charge.

The key to this charge is piezoelectricity, or the electric generated from pressure, usually from stretching or compressing a material. With the molybdenum disulfide, the researchers found that it generated electricity in layers that were an odd number of atoms thick, including layers as thin as one atom.

From the abstract:

A single monolayer flake strained by 0.53% generates a peak output of 15 mV and 20 pA, corresponding to a power density of 2 mW m−2 and a 5.08% mechanical-to-electrical energy conversion efficiency. In agreement with theoretical predictions, the output increases with decreasing thickness and reverses sign when the strain direction is rotated by 90°.

Squeezing Charges From Material
This is a cartoon showing positive and negative polarized charges are squeezed from a single layer of atoms of molybdenum disulfide (MoS2), as it is being stretched.
Lei Wang/Columbia Engineering

Single-atom-thick materials are exciting, because they open up new possibilities for materials science, like making tiny transistors. Molybdenum disulfide is particularly interesting because of its potential as a thin transistor incorporated into other materials. Now that scientists have shown atom-thin layers of it can generate electricity, future designers and engineers might incorporate it into very small and self-powering machines. Because it needs to stretch to generate power, it might not work well on a tablet-like device, but imagine it built into a shoe with a display that can tell how many steps you've made that day.

 


A Few Questions For Steven Johnson: Why Innovation Is In Everything

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Still from How We Got to Now.
Steven Johnson discusses how actress Hedy Lamarr became a pioneer in the field of wireless communications.
Stewart Cook

Journalist and author, Steven Johnson is a sucker for innovation. He's covered it in various forms in his book Where Good Ideas Come From, and in The Ghost Map, which followed the discovery of the cure to cholera. Last night, his new show for PBS, How We Got to Now, premiered. Through six episodes, divided into six innovation themes—Clean, Cold, Sound, Light, Glass, and Time—Johnson tells the story of the modern world through the inventions that made it possible.

Clean takes Johnson to the sewer system to chronicle the rise of clean, safe water, and the evolution of methods for keeping us disease-free. Cold charts the evolution of the simple refrigerated rail car to giant complexes in the middle of the desert that mimic ski slopes.  Light sheds insight on how the simple flash bulb could influence political change. And Glass brings viewers back to the invention of lenses, which have evolved to show us worlds too small or far for us to see otherwise.

All of these seemlingly small inventions have incredible and far-reaching consequences, which branch out through time. The inventors are not always billionaires—some even die not knowing the impact they had—and the technologies may seem basic by modern standards. But that's by design. Each episode offers a surprising look at the impact of seemingly simple discoveries and ideas, following the thread through history. We talked to Johnson about the show, and innovation. 

Popular Science: What got you interested in writing about innovation?

Steven Johnson: In all of my previous books, I wrote about new ideas in brain science, new ides in popular culture, video games, in complexity theory and complexity science, and I realized that I was interested in new things that are coming into the world, and the people that are bringing them into the world. And the historical focus, which we have in the show and the book, came out of the fact that, we don't tell this kind of history enough. We tend to tell history in broad movements, like the Civil Rights Movement, or big political figures—presidents or kings—or major military conflicts. But I think it's just as important to tell our history though the lens of technologies and breakthroughs in science and our understanding the world, that have shaped our lives every bit as much as great leaders or great battles. 

We really tried to shift the focus in terms of what we talk about when we talk about innovation.

PS: How do you go about mapping historical innovation?

SJ: It's really hard, and it's kind of different each time. For instance, there's a story in there about the ice train. That enabled refrigerator rail cars for the first time—they would just stick blocks of ice on the top of these refrigerator rail cars, which enabled Chicago to ship frozen meat to the east coast for the first time. They couldn't keep the meat from spoiling until they had these ice refrigerated cars. So it was the ice that enabled Chicago to turn into the classic slaughter house, stockyards, beef trading hub that it became in the end of the 19th century. This helped transform the entire midwest, which converted the plains into these semi-industrial feed lots for cattle. Without those blocks of ice, none of that could have happened until they invented artificially air conditioned rail cars 30 and 40 years later. This story was something that we kind of knew. But it wasn't until late in the process that I realized, I've got to go read the whole history of Chicago to figure this out. So I did, and I realized that in fact, they were really hamstrung until had ice cars, they really couldn't couldn't ship meat at all. That suggested to me the impact it had on the actual physical layout of the great plains after Chicago became such a hub for cattle. It's like detective work. You get one little clue somewhere, someone says something in passing, and then you trace down where that came from, and then finally get the broader story. It's because people normally don't tell history this way, that you have to do all the detective work. It's not the traditional way of telling the story of Chicago. Some guy in Boston decided to make a fortune selling blocks of ice and then modern, industrial Chicago was invented. If you look at it for those chains of influence, it's just as accurate as the traditional telling. 

PS: Where is all of this innovation coming from? 

SJ: We really tried to tell a lot of stories about people who were almost like amateurs in some way, who were just really interested, had a passion, had a dream, and decided to follow it. Even though they didn't necessarily have official credentials, in a way, they're hobbyists. For instance, John Snow, in the Clean episode. He solved the riddle of cholera. He was just a local doctor, but he got interested in this problem of what was making people sick because he was treating them. And he decided to investigate on his own, and through his detective work, he ends up solving one of the big medical mysteries of the time. It's harder to do that now in today's age, since we've solved a lot of the simpler problems. You have to have more of an education and more training than you used to, but we also have more information available to us thanks to the Internet. The figure of the hobbyist and outsider who comes up with a great idea, or a great new invention. That's something we're really trying to celebrate in the show. 

PS: What do you want viewers to take away from the show? 

SJ: A couple of points: We really tried to shift the focus in terms of what we talk about when we talk about innovation. Innovation is a really trendy word—everybody talks about innovation in the State of the Union and the million tech conferences centered around it. But so much of the current conversation about innovation is focused on Silicon Valley, and who is the latest billionaire that started a social media app, and what the next iPhone is going to look like. And all that is great, and I love all that stuff, and we celebrate some of that. But mostly what we tried to do is focus on these other kinds of technologies and breakthroughs. So people think about the iPhone as an innovation, but they don't think of clean drinking water as innovation. The fact that most of us in the developed world can drink all day from the tap and not worry about dying 48 hours later of cholera, that is so much more miraculous than the fact that can text a picture from my son's summer camp back home a few hours away. If I had to choose between one or other, I would always choose clean drinking water that doesn't kill me. 

We really wanted to remind people that there is a whole range of kinds of innovation in our lives, and we should appreciate these other ones, in part, because it's good to appreciate them and it's good to tell stories and tell history this way. But the other reason is to inspire the next generation of innovators so people aren't just trying to create next social media app, but they're also going out and trying to solve the new problems that we have. We have these new problems involving energy, food, hygiene, and we've got a whole host of new solutions we're going to need. I want these stories to get people excited about trying to solve this. 

PS: Are there things in your daily life you wonder about and research?

SJ: Well, clothing in general is really pretty amazing. I've been researching the whole story of cotton, which is an incredible story. Cotton first took off in England and France in the 1600s. When people first started to experience it, as opposed to linen and wool, one of the big things that was central to it was people would wear it as undergarments. They would wear wool, because it was cold, but have now they suddenly have these cotton products they can wear under that. And they were like, "Oh my gosh! This is so much nicer." That created this craze for the fabric. And it literally set in motion these absolutely globally transformative events: The Industrial Revolution was all driven by cotton, the slave trade had to do with cotton, vast fortunes were made, the British empire in India was hugely driven by cotton. So you can look back on this, and say, without really joking about it, the single most transformative series of events of the 1700s and early 1800s were triggered by a new kind of underwear. It's not a joke, it sounds like a joke.

 

The Space Station Is Getting A UPS-Style Shipping Service

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Express Service
The Terrestrial Return Vehicle is released from the International Space Station in this artist rendering.
NASA
It’s easy to forget that the International Space Station isn’t just a place for astronauts to hang out and take epic selfies. Because of its unique microgravity environment, the station is actually a valuable hub for research and development, housing hundreds of ongoing experiments that involve everything from human tissue growth to protein crystal formation.

Except there’s one little snag when it comes to conducting experiments on the ISS: It’s kind of far away. Getting critical samples from the station to Earth can be a lengthy process, and researchers usually have to wait anywhere from six months to a year before samples can make the trip to laboratories on the ground. These long waits can be risky, as live biological samples have a perishable lifespan and often need to be reviewed quickly before they degrade.

Well now, private spaceflight company Intuitive Machines has a solution to this problem. In cooperation with NASA, the company is developing the Terrestrial Return Vehicle (TRV), a spacecraft that can deliver experiment samples from station to Earth in less than 24 hours. Think of it as same-day shipping for the ISS. Such a short sample return time opens up more opportunities for research on the ISS that could never have been done before. 

“Those experiment samples are left stranded on board until we can get a whole vehicle up there packed with 5,000 pounds of return cargo,” Steve Altemus, president of Intuitive Machines, tells Popular Science. “In our paradigm, we have opportunities to come home every single day, bringing critical samples home when they’re needed.”

A Speedy Return
A new delivery system could make ferrying supplies from the International Space Station a whole lot easier. The Terrestrial Return Vehicle will enable experiments to return to Earth the day they're needed, ending long waits.
NASA/Intuitive Machines

The Center for the Advancement of Science in Space (CASIS), a non-profit charged with managing the ISS U.S. National Laboratory, is helping Intuitive Machines bring the TRV to life. The vehicle is still in the concept stage, but when it's finished, CASIS will arrange for the TRV to be transported via rocket to the ISS. Once there, astronauts will load the TRV with any samples that need to be quickly sent to Earth, then release it using the station’s robotic arm.

According to Altemus, the TRV will be about the size of a bag of golf clubs--much smaller than the seven-foot-tall Dragon capsules that currently haul cargo to the ISS. The TRV's small size should make it cheaper to shuttle science experiments back and forth, and its shape allows it to create lift and drag without the need for wings, similar to NASA's X-38 prototype. “It’s able to maneuver through the atmosphere and manage the energy of its return to Earth,” says Altemus. “It’s more like a mini shuttle without wings. Just the body creates lift.”

After it enters the Earth’s atmosphere, the TRV will release a super sonic drogue parachute to slow down its descent. Then, at about 25,000 feet, it will deploy a parafoil, allowing it to steer more easily to its landing site — a test range in the Utah desert. In total, the TRV’s return trip to Earth will take a mere six hours, which is comparable to how fast the Shuttle used to come home from the ISS.

“In our paradigm, we have opportunities to come home every single day, bringing critical samples home when they’re needed.”

The TRV’s insides will provide cold storage in order to preserve its precious cargo. And since it’s so small, multiple TRVs can remain on the ISS at a time and then be deployed whenever they’re needed. Altemus notes this could fundamentally change how research is done on the ISS, because as of now, “science in space is based on the premise that their samples can come home once or twice a year.”

Conducting research in space can be extremely valuable in the realms of biology, pharmaceutical development, and physics, as it allows researchers to take the effects of gravity out of the equation. “On Earth, gravity is not considered an experimental variable,” says David Wolfe, a former astronaut who worked on biological assembly on the ISS. “While in space and in our space laboratory, gravity is a variable that we can manipulate to our advantage.”

For example, space is a really great place to grow human tissues outside the body in three dimensions. On Earth, gravity causes the cells to grow flat and disruptive forces must be introduced to get proper tissue formation. In space, you can get pretty accurate growth of normal and cancerous tissues, which can be used to test novel drugs later on Earth.

A similar concept applies to protein crystal growth, which is used a lot in pharmaceutical development. Microgravity helps crystals grow much fuller in all different directions. Additionally, a lot of experiments involving mice are done on ISS to test the effects of microgravity on the human body. However, the first iteration of the TRV won’t be able to return live rodents. (They’re working on it, though.)

The first launch of the TRV is scheduled for 2016, making these next couple years pretty remarkable for commercial spaceflight.

Desert Delivery
The TRV will use a drogue chute and a power foil to land safely in the Utah desert.
NASA/Intuitive Machines

NASA's Ames Center Opens Its Doors To The Public Tomorrow

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NASA Ames
NASA
Tomorrow, October 18th, NASA Ames Research Center is celebrating its 75th anniversary by opening its doors to the public for the first time since 1997. They are expecting 120,000 people to participate in a walking tour of the campus. Nestled adjacent to the Googleplex and in the heart of Silicon Valley, NASA Ames at Moffett Field is a giant complex, where research for NASA's space program, among many other things, takes place. 

 

Heidi Pollock, who will be attending, used to work at Yahoo just down the street, “I drove by NASA Ames a lot, always wondering what it was like inside. This is the first open house they've had in 17 years! I jumped at the opportunity.”

The Ames Research Center houses some pretty spectacular buildings; one that's highly visible from the street is the largest wind tunnel in the world. The Unitary Plan Wind Tunnel is designed to test commercial and military aircraft and NASA space vehicles. NASA’s only working 20G centrifuge, designed specifically to create artificial gravity for the machine's occupants is also at Ames. This particular centrifuge has imposed the harsh effects of gravity on humans, animals, microbes, and plants in preparation for the G-forces felt during take off and re-entry; some “mousetronauts” were tested here before their launch last month on SpaceX’s Dragon to the ISS.

The 20G Centrifuge
NASA

Another interesting lab, which won’t induce gravity loss of consciousness (G-LOC) or vomiting, is the thermophysics facility. This lab houses the arc-jet, built to test different materials for reentry into the atmosphere. Functioning much like a garden hose of fire, the jet uses a stream of air that is accelerated to a velocity of 5 kilometers per second and sprayed over the material being tested. This creates a hypersonic shock wave of 10,000 degrees and heats the material to approximately what it would experience reentering the atmosphere of Earth or Mars.

The Arc Jet testing a material designed for entry into the Martian atmosphere
NASA

There are dozens of other exciting and science-fiction inspired experiments taking place at Ames, like SPHERES, and the Astrobiology Institute that studies the origins of life in the universe.

According to Sidney Sun, Chief of the Space Biosciences Division, “People are hungry for science, the public associates NASA with the future and exploration, and by coming to our open house they are getting a peek into the future. It’s exciting to get to share that.”

Video: Laser Beam Makes Falling Droplets Explode

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In mere fractions of a second, a laser turns a millimeter-sized droplet of liquid into a constellation of tiny fragments. Captured at 20,000 frames per second by a team of researchers from the University of Twente in the Netherlands, “Laser Impact On A Drop” is violently beautiful.

Here’s now the researchers describe the experiment:

The energy deposition in a liquid drop on a nanosecond time scale by impact of a laser pulse can induce various reactions, such as vaporization or plasma generation. The response of the drop can be extremely violent: The drop gets strongly deformed and propelled forward at several m/s, and subsequently breaks up or even explodes. These effects are used in a controlled manner during the generation of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) light in nanolithography machines for the fabrication of leading-edge semiconductor microchips. Detailed understanding of the fundamentals of this process is of key importance in order to advance the latest lithography machines.

That’s cool, but better semiconductors seems both important and the least exciting use of this technology possible. What we really want to know: If this is scaled up enough, can it reduce an Alderaan-sized planet into so much space dust?

[Gizmodo]

Rubber Ducky Comet Site Needs A Catchy Name

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The Landing Area
The European Space Agency has finally figured out where it will land Philae, the probe that travelled with their Rosetta spacecraft to comet 67P/Churyumov–Gerasimenko. Now they're holding a contest to decide what to name the site.
ESA/Rosetta/MPS for OSIRIS Team MPS/UPD/LAM/IAA/SSO/INTA/UPM/DASP/IDA
The astronomy community isn’t always great at naming things. The Rosetta spacecraft, for example, is currently orbiting a comet with the unsightly name of 67P/Churyumov–Gerasimenko. On November 12, Rosetta will release its lander, Philae—the first manmade object ever to touch down on a comet—and the European Space Agency needs your help to come up with a (hopefully pronounceable) name for the landing site. 

The landing area’s working moniker is “Site J”, but the ESA thinks you can come up with something more compelling, and we’re inclined to agree. You can enter the contest here, and the person who submits the winning name will be flown to ESA’s mission control center in Darmstadt, Germany, to watch the historic landing.

The rules are simple, says ESA: 

[A]ny name can be proposed, but it must not be the name of a person. The name must be accompanied by a short description (up to 200 words) explaining why this would make the ideal name for such an historic location.

More details and caveats here.

Last year NASA hosted a similar competition to name two of Pluto’s moons, and things got a little political. The proposed name ‘Vulcan’ received an overwhelming amount of support from voters (including Star Trek’s William Shatner), but the International Astronomical Union shut it down partly because Vulcan, the Roman god of volcanoes, has nothing to do with Pluto, the Roman god of the underworld. 

Thankfully, those party poopers at the IAU aren’t expected to get involved in the Rosetta mission’s competition. The contest website notes that the IAU’s naming conventions don’t apply to comets, “where the appearance of regions/features may change significantly over short periods of time. As such, the name of the landing site is not IAU approved, but will be the name adopted by ESA and its mission partners for all future reference to the landing site.” 

The contest entry deadline is October 22, and the winner will be announced on November 3. 

Hackett Makes His Own Postapocalyptic Currency [Video]

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Money makes the world run—but without a stable government, paper bills will be little more than fire starters, and coins chips of cheap metal. Bartering is inconvenient: If I desperately want the cat food you’ve stockpiled, but you have no need for the fine moonshine I can produce, it will take multiple trades to satisfy us both. A more efficient solution would be to mint a new currency. 

Coins are manufactured by squeezing a disk of soft metal, or planchet, between two harder dies—typically cylinders with images cut into their faces. Given enough energy, the planchet briefly acts like a liquid, flowing into the nooks and crannies of the dies. I chose to mint my coins out of copper, which can be reused to make electrical parts, giving them real-world value. For the dies, I used saltwater and a battery to etch patterns into two hydraulic pistons. Then came the hard part.

The Original Hackettcoin.
Ray Lego
The pressure needed to mint coins is tremendous. When I tried to use a hydraulic cylinder, the copper didn’t even dent. Only the traditional method—whacking the dies with a hammer—gave me legible currency. But a human arm inflicts inconsistent blows. I decided to create a more reliable and powerful hammer: a 144-pound chunk of scrap metal dropped from the top of a steel frame. Using a car battery welder [see “Rebuild,” July 2014], I fused I-beams into a scaffold; a triangular assembly holds the dies and planchet in alignment at the base. 

When it’s time to mint, pulleys help me hoist the hammer to the top of the frame. From there, it drops about five feet and hits a striker made from a bolt, delivering more than 100 tons of impact force to the planchet. Vertical guides made from a couple lengths of sprinkler pipe prevent the scrap metal from bouncing around after impact. Now I just need an assistant to help churn out currency—I’ll pay in Hackettcoin.

Hackett is Popular Science's intrepid DIY ​columnist.

 

Homemade Minter
Popular Science's intrepid DIY contributor Hackett designed a coin mint using materials that might be available after the apocalypse. You can watch a video of his process and read what he has to say about it here.
Ray Lego

This article was originally published in the November 2014 issue of Popular Science under the title, "Behold! Copper Coins I Minted For Postapocalyptic Currency."

Lockheed's Fusion Promise: What We Know So Far

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Fusion at Lockheed
Lockheed Martin announced this week a project designed to make nuclear fusion energy, long a dream of scientists and energy policymakers, a viable power source. Their prototype, pictured here, has drawn significant criticism.
Eric Schulzinger/Lockheed Martin

Researchers at Lockheed Martin made headlines this week with the announcement that they are on the fast track to building a nuclear fusion reactor. But experts responded with skepticism.

Fusion promises unlimited clean, renewable energy without the nasty byproducts of the uranium-splitting fission that drives today's nuclear plants. The problem is figuring out how to contain it. For hydrogen atoms to smash together with enough force to fuse, they must jitter and bounce with many times the heat of the sun's core. Tom McGuire, the Lockheed project lead, tells Popular Science their reactor will run at 200 million degrees. Matter that hot leaves the simple world of solids, liquids, and gasses to form a plasma. No solid vessel will contain that material, so fusion generators resort to suspending the roiling mass with powerful electromagnets. The best-funded fusion project in the world, called the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER), takes the brute force approach. It's fusion chamber, or "tokamak," stands 100 feet tall and, at 23,000 tons, has about the same mass as a tank battalion. If it's ever finished, it's expected to cost tens of billions of dollars.

McGuire's claim that his team of less than 10 people will solve the containment problem in a machine about the size of a school bus flies in the face of a long history of failures in fusion engineering. Peter Gleick pointed out that their claim of a "fusion breakthrough" isn't exactly a first:

McGuire says that history works to Lockheed's advantage. His team's model does have the benefit of six decades of research by other groups from which to work. The key difference in their model is a containment system that adapts on its own to fluxes in the plasma. When the roiling cloud surges against any one point in the field, the magnets push back harder like a compressed spring. That new system is also what lets their model, which they're calling a Compact Fusion Reactor (CFR), fit into such a small space. (Daniel Clery, author of fusion book A Piece Of The Sun, notes in Science that versions of this idea have been proposed before.)

Notably, the announcement has not come with published results that other researchers could study. This may not be surprising though. Asked what the ultimate goal of the project is, McGuire says he wants to "end energy scarcity as a source of conflict." But its a good bet that making huge profits selling power to the entire world is also high on Lockheed's list, so sharing details of the design may not be in their best interest.

Engineers working on other fusion projects have derided Lockheed's proposed system.Business Insider reported an email from fusion scientist Tom Jarboe calling the project expensive and infeasible:

"This design has two doughnuts and a shell so it will be more than four times as bad as a tokamak," Jarboe said, adding that, "Our concept [at the University of Washington] has no coils surrounded by plasma and solves the problem."

McGuire would not comment on the cost of the Lockheed project, but noted the small size of his team.

Some fusion experts who have looked at publically available patents and images of the Lockheed design have expressed doubt that their reactor would do anything but tear itself apart. Clery writes:

One potential problem with the device that has been pointed out by scientists who have spoken with ScienceInsider is that it appears to have electromagnet coils made from superconductor inside the reaction vessel. If they were in that position in a working fusion reactor, the superconductor would be destroyed by the high-energy neutrons that are a product of fusion reactions. Other designs that use high-temperature superconductors have more than a meter of shielding to protect magnets from neutrons, although researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology believe this could be reduced to as low as 77 centimeters. Even if it was possible to reduce this to 70 cm and such shielding was added to Lockheed’s current design, researchers say it would make the device 18 meters across, not the 7 meters that the company is claiming.

After containment, fusion's major problem is maintaining a plasma density high enough that the reaction keeps going on under its own steam (as long as hydrogen isotopes derived from lithium and seawater keep pouring into the system.)

Thermonuclear plasma physicist Swadesh M. Mahajan made toldMother Jones that Lockheed's reactor probably won't succeed—and neither will the University of Washington or ITER:

Mahajan called Lockheed's announcement "poppycock." He said, "Getting net energy from fusion is such a goddamn difficult undertaking," he said. "We're all aware that there's always a finite chance of some breakthrough which is beyond the powers of imagination." But if there was a genuine breakthrough, he said, "we'd be screaming from the treetops."

McGuire, nonetheless, is confident his group will eventually succeed—though he shies away from providing a specific timeline. "Putting a number on it right now is spurious—or, hard," he said. Their reactor, currently at in its two-meter-long fourth generation, should be ready with another several development cycles. The team will use that time to "ramp up" the design to its full potential. If it works, he says its small size will enable it to be fitted for use in everything from power plants to interplanetary spacecraft.

That's a big if.


Earth's Magnetic Field Could Flip Faster Than We Thought

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Pole Positions.
The ‘north pole’ — that is, the direction of magnetic north — was reversed a million years ago. Starting about 789,000 years ago, the north pole wandered around Antarctica for three thousand years before flipping to the orientation we know today, with the pole somewhere in the Arctic.

The magnetic poles of the earth have switched back and forth many, many times during the 4.54 billion years that the Earth has been around. Previous research suggested that the process of reversing the poles took place over a long time period, potentially over a few thousand years. But new research shows that the reversal could actually happen much faster than that, with the magnetic North Pole migrating to the South Pole in a time span as short as a century. 

Researchers at the University of California at Berkeley dated ancient lake sediments in Italy that recorded the last magnetic reversal, which occurred 786,000 years ago. Their findings were surprising. “What’s incredible is that you go from reverse polarity to a field that is normal with essentially nothing in between, which means it had to have happened very quickly, probably in less than 100 years,” said co-author of the study Paul Renne in a press release. “We don’t know whether the next reversal will occur as suddenly as this one did, but we also don’t know that it won’t.”

Regardless of the speed at which it occurs, that next reversal might happen sooner than originally thought. Geophysicists have noticed that the earth's magnetic field has been weakening faster than expected lately, leading them to conclude that a full flip could happen sooner rather than later. (Don't panic. 'Sooner' in this case, means within the next two millennia.)

Scientists haven't found any evidence that previous reversals caused any major damage to inhabitants of the earth. But a changing magnetic field could affect current technology, like electrical grids. Luckily, according to this new research, that disruption should only last for one generation, not several. What a relief. 

The Week In Numbers: Secret Robot Space Planes, Elephant Weathermen, And Suspended Animation

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needle

10: Percent of people who are frightened of needles. They could benefit from a new technology which may make injections pain-free.

6: Episodes in the first season of a new show called How We Got to Now, which tells the story of simple inventions that shaped the modern world.

200,000: Number of applicants who applied to the Mars One mission, which MIT students recently predicted will end in starvation.

1 atom: Thickness of the thinnest possible electrical generator, as demonstrated by researchers from the Georgia Institute of Technology and Columbia Engineering.

Squeezing Charges From Material
This is a cartoon showing positive and negative polarized charges are squeezed from a single layer of atoms of molybdenum disulfide (MoS2), as it is being stretched.
Lei Wang/Columbia Engineering
7 weeks: Amount of time the Ebola virus can reside in a patient's semen even after full recovery.

180 days: The length of a trip to Mars. Putting astronauts in suspended animation could make that journey a lot easier, according to a NASA-commissioned study on human stasis.

Human stasis, as portrayed in the movie Prometheus.
NASA wants to know whether it's really possible to put astronauts into 'suspended animation' for long-distance space travel.
Prometheus/Twentieth Century Fox

100,000,000: Number of colors that tetrachromatic artist, Concetta Antico, can perceive thanks to an extra type of cone cell in her eyes. That's 100 times more than the average person. 

Concetta Antico
ConcettaAntico.com

220 pounds: Weight of Philae, Rosetta spacecraft's lander, which is scheduled for a historic landing on Comet 47P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko on November 12.

Philae
An artist's rendering of Philae touching down on 67P
ESA/ATG medialab

150 miles: Distance from which elephants can detect approaching rainstorms.

22 months: Length of time that X-37B, the secret robot space plane, spent on its last mission before touching down on Earth earlier this week.

X-37B On Runway
U.S. Air Force

Correction (10/17/2014, 5:11pm ET): The original story stated 0.1 percent of people are afraid of needles. In fact, it's 10 percent of people, and it has been corrected. We regret the error.

The Week In Drones: Pregnant Whales, Disaster Mapping, And More

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Killer Whales Nuzzling As Seen From A Drone
NOAA, Vancouver Aquarium.

Here's a roundup of the week's top drone news: the military, commercial, non-profit, and recreational applications of unmanned aircraft.

Drones For Claims

USAA insures millions of Americans, primarily those serving in the military and their families. Earlier this month, they petitioned the FAA to let them use drones to evaluate claims after natural disasters. An insurance underwriter for USAA told Fast Company that the insurance agency wants to fly PrecisionHawk drones over disaster areas to evaluate claims better and faster than on foot or by truck. PrecisionHawk, which collaborates with Colorado-based aerial imagery processing company DroneMapper, is a particularly appropriate choice. In September 2013, following massive flooding in Colorado, PrecisionHawk used their drones to map flooded areas.

Killer Whale Watching

Scientists from NOAA Fisheries teamed up with colleagues at the Vancouver Aquarium to observe a pod of killer whales with a hexacopter drone. The drone flew much closer than manned aircraft usually can. With people onboard a helicopter, scientists fly no closer than 1,000 feet above the whales, but the drone could go as low as 100 feet, taking pictures all the way. This allowed the scientists to evaluate orca health, judging by the size of the whale, and it let the scientists monitor orca pregnancies. The size of the whales, and the distortion of bodies that pregnancy causes, allowed researchers to seeing just how many of these killer whale pregnancies were carried to term.

Vanishing Drone Laws Of Old?

Before civilian drones were commonly called drones, small remotely controlled flying aircraft in civilian use were all known as “model aircraft”. From 1981 on they’ve been governed largely by an advisory the FAA put out on "Model Aircraft Operating Standards". These rules have since influenced modern private drone users, but something strange is happening: This week, the FAA put out a memo to kill the advisory. Drone use has changed a lot in the 33 years since the advisory was published, but the 1981 circular has been the widely accepted legal framework for decades. Replacing it with new rules seems more wishful thinking than sound practice.

Air Traffic Control

The company Airware primarily makes autopilot software for drones. Now they're collaborating with NASA to create not just the robotic pilot for a flying machine, but the traffic control system it talks to. One of the major challenges of using unmanned aircraft is to make sure they don't cause damage when they lose contact with their controller. Another is supplying them new travel information to help them adapt to changing situations. A traffic control system that connects drones to the internet or to cellular signal towers could relay commands, such as “move out of the way of this incoming helicopter” to drones.

Drones....In Space!

Today, after 674 days in orbit, the mysterious X-37B robot space plane finally returned to earth. The plane is a project of the Air Force, with the stated mission to test the ability of a reusable spacecraft. It’s also probably doing something else in space, with speculations that it's actually a space bomber or a super spy plane. It’s more likely the latter than the former, but what’s really strange about the whole thing is there’s a robot space plane and that’s not the part that’s secret.

Did I miss any drone news? Email me at kelsey.d.atherton@gmail.com.

Apocalypse Coins, Biocakes, And Other Amazing Images Of The Week

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Vegetative Consciousness
Vegetative patients are usually assumed to have little to no function. But new research shows that some vegetative brains behave like healthy ones. This image show a normal vegetative brain (left), a healthy brain (right) and one of the exceptional ones uncovered in the study (middle).
PLoS

These Are The Sleepiest Parts Of The Internet

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New York City is the city that never sleeps, and if a new study from the University of Southern California’s Viterbi School of Engineering is any indication, it’s home to plenty of active Internet connections around the clock. But there are plenty of places around the globe where the Internet actually does sleep at night.

While the United States and parts of southern Africa and Western Europe display pretty much constant Internet connectivity, countries such as Armenia, Georgia, and Belarus follow a diurnal usage pattern that sees Internet usage peak as the day progresses and then taper off at night.

As interesting as that might be, it’s far more fun to look at the data visually, as evidenced by the  animated GIF above that shows how patterns of Internet usage change while the night sweeps across the map. For reference, pinkish/reddish blocks indicate higher than mean Internet usage, while blue blocks represent lower than average activity.

The data was compiled by researchers at USC Viterbi’s Information Science Institute. Over the course of two months, ISI’s Lin Quan, John Heidemann, and Yuri Pradkin studied patterns of Internet usage by pinging 3.7 million IP address blocks—representing almost 1 billion of the world’s roughly 4 billion IPv4 addresses—every 11 minutes.

Given the data, the researchers suggest several conclusions. For one thing, diurnal usage seems to be correlated with countries with lower gross domestic product. That’s not particularly surprising, given that countries with stronger economies are often home to broadband Internet connections that are always on, rather than dial-up links which might be shut down at night. Likewise, countries and regions that attempt to conserve more electricity by turning off equipment at the end of the day may also display diurnal usage patterns.

As for practical applications of this research, one place it may come in useful is in establishing a daily baseline for Internet activity—a sort of background radiation reading, if you will. That might allow for easier identification of certain anomalies, such as network outages, and help avoid confusing them with natural patterns of use. Although the study doesn’t suggest it, it seems like it may also be handy for identifying areas where energy could be saved by minimizing constantly active Internet connections that might be more able to lie dormant during off hours.

At least the Internet’s lack of sleep doesn’t seem to be having the same ill effects as it does on people, although long nights of browsing Wikipedia, playing online games, and watching cat videos on YouTube has likely contributed to plenty of drooping eyelids the next morning.

Break In Transmission: How Nigeria Took Control Of Ebola

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Ebola Is Now Intercontinental
Katadikazo, CC BY-NC

The World Health Organization has declared Nigeria to be free of the Ebola virus, after six weeks with no new cases being detected.

Speaking from the capital, Abuja, WHO representative Rui Gama Vaz told reporters this was a "spectacular success story." The WHO is able to declare a country free of infection if 21 days pass with no new cases, and the most recent case declared in Nigeria was on September 5, according to the BBC.

The scale of the ongoing outbreak of Ebola virus in western Africa has taken healthcare workers, scientists, policy makers, in fact everyone, by surprise. Prior to this outbreak the largest number of human cases in a single outbreak was just over 400. In this outbreak it is now more than 9,000.

The identification of Thomas Duncan, the first person diagnosed in the US, who later died, and Teresa Romero Ramos, the Spanish nurse who became the first human-to-human transmission of the virus outside of Africa, has raised questions about whether the virus can be contained in countries outside of Africa.

Ebola virus is a disease of contact, it is transferred from person-to-person by the exchange of bodily fluids (blood, feces and vomit) from someone who is showing symptoms. And it is likely there will be further cases of Ebola virus imported via infected individuals traveling back from west Africa. A recent study suggested there was a 25-70% chance of the virus reaching France by the end of October and between 15-25% for the UK in the same timeframe. Other research in September said that there was a only 10% chance of a case being identified in the US that month. A day later Duncan presented to his local hospital.

The global network of flights certainly make it more likely that further cases will be imported to countries additional to those already affected. However, given the heightened awareness, and the time these countries have had to prepare for this scenario – and stronger public health infrastructures – they are more likely to be able to limit the transmission of the virus.

Act fast, and act local

There has been lots of discussion about why this outbreak is so much larger than previously. Some of the reasons suggested are: that there has only been one previously documented case of human infection with Ebola virus in West Africa (the virus has primarily caused human infections in central and eastern Africa) so healthcare workers in this region had little previous experience in dealing with Ebola virus outbreaks; there was a delayed response by the local and international public health agencies; and poor existing healthcare infrastructure due to civil war or lack of investment; and the list can go on.

All outbreaks prior to this one in West Africa have been controlled through the implementation and strict maintenance of basic public health strategies – early diagnosis and isolation of infected individuals, provision of appropriate protective equipment for medical staff, contact tracing and education and awareness campaigns targeting the local population. But in the case of the current outbreak, the virus was able to spread in the highly dense and mobile population before these interventions could be put in place.

Breaking transmission

If you can break the transmission you can control the outbreak. These measures have already proved successful. An infected Liberian man who travelled to Nigeria imported the virus, which spread to a further 19 individuals within the country but was quickly contained due to the implementation of the strategies above. In part this was possibly thanks to an existing healthcare surveillance infrastructure in place in Nigeria that is used to monitor for cases of polio. These facilities and personnel were successfully mobilized to limit the spread of Ebola virus. Nigeria has not seen any new cases since August 31 and will be declared “Ebola free” on October 12 if no further cases are detected.

Given the scale of this outbreak, it is likely that further measures will be needed, such as the use of experimental treatments and the fast-tracked development of vaccines and therapeutic drugs, as senior experts concluded at a meeting convened by the World Health Organization in Geneva at the start of September. It is anticipated there could be a limited roll out of vaccine and drugs to healthcare workers in the region by the start of 2015.

Going airborne?

The other issue that has been at the forefront of peoples’ minds is whether the virus could mutate to become airborne. The honest answer is this is highly unlikely but we can not rule it out.

A recent report in the scientific journal Science identified that there have been changes to the virus’ genetic code during this outbreak but this is only to be expected due to the nature in which the virus replicates. There is no evidence that these mutations have led to the virus becoming airborne. If we look for examples of better studied viruses that mutate, such as influenza and human immunodeficiency virus, we have known about these viruses for a long time and monitored the accumulation of mutations within their genomes.

While the rate of mutations has been prolific these viruses have not changed the mechanism by which they are transmitted. In fact, there is no evidence any virus has changed its mode of transmission due to naturally occurring mutations in their genomes.

Edward Wright does not work for, consult to, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has no relevant affiliations.

This article was originally published on The Conversation. Read the original article.

The Conversation

The Editor's Letter From The November 2014 Issue Of Popular Science

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Cliff Ransom, Editor In Chief Of Popular Science
Marius Bugge

About a year ago, Popular Science introduced a robot into the office. One of the many virtues of working at a magazine such as ours is that we’re free to test all sorts of cool stuff. So we called the guys at Suitable Technologies and asked them to send us a BeamPro, the telepresence robot made famous by Edward Snowden (no doubt, he got the idea from us).

At the outset, we thought working side by side with a robot would be little more than a weird experiment. And it was—for about three days. Then things became strangely natural. Now when I see our robot roaming the halls or dipping into meetings, I’m no longer shocked or confused. I just smile and wave. We even named it—Gus, for reasons no one can remember. One of my fondest recent memories was watching Gus lead an office tour for 25 squealing children on Bring Your Kid to Work Day. The lesson: Children love robots.

When I describe Gus to friends, they all have some version of the same reaction: Their eyes get wide and they look vaguely creeped out. Which kind of makes sense. From the moment robots were conceived, they have been freighted with dark overtones. The initial mention of the word—in Karel Čapek’s 1920 play, R.U.R.—was paired with a plot in which robots (or more properly, androids) exterminated the human race. Not a great precedent. 

But the fact is, robots are already working among us. Most cars today have some robotic functions, whether for parallel parking or collision avoidance. Robots now clean your home (thanks, Roomba) and operate on patients (thanks, da Vinci). There’s even a robot bellhop that will deliver hotel guests a bottle of Scotch. The leap, for most, is not in accepting help or services from robots but in accepting them as something more, as companions or friends.  

As Adam Piore writes in our cover story this month, that leap is one that many in Japan are already making. There, robots are now caring for the elderly and helping customers in stores. There is even a burgeoning genre of robot plays (I wonder what Karel Čapek would think about that). If you want a glimpse of the emerging human-robot society, just look across the Pacific. 

Of course, we’ve been down this road before. The 1980s saw a rush of commercial robots—who could forget Playskool’s Alphie or Tomy’s Omnibot 2000? But most of them ended up as glorified toys. This time, I’d wager that things are different. Technology is better, certainly, but so is our understanding of ourselves. If we’re truly to integrate robots into our lives—a change that at this point appears all but inevitable—then we need to forge connections with them as we do with one another. That means our forthcoming robot companions will not only be high functioning, equipped with facial recognition and artificial intelligence. They’ll also be irresistibly cute. 

Enjoy the November issue.


This Thursday, See A Partial Solar Eclipse At Sunset

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This Thursday afternoon, most of North America will be treated to a partial solar eclipse. If the weather holds, the most dramatic presentation of the eclipse can be seen near Prince of Wales Island in Canada’s Nunavut territory, where 81 percent of the sun will be obscured. For the rest of the continent, regions in the Northwest will have the longest and best views of the eclipse. But over on the east coast, the sunset will interrupt the spectacle. 

As you probably remember from science class, solar eclipses occur when the moon passes between the Earth and the sun, casting a shadow on part of the Earth’s surface. In this case, the Moon will only cover part of the sun, making it a partial solar eclipse. The next total solar eclipse will occur on March 20, 2015.

If you’re fortunate enough to live in an area where the eclipse will be visible, remember not to look at it directly. Even though the eclipse will cover a good portion of the sun (between 40 and 60 percent in most parts of the United States) and will happen just before or during sunset in many areas, it's still the sun. Staring at it directly or even through unfiltered binoculars, telescopes, or viewfinders could be harmful to your eyesight. Using filters or pinhole projectors are good alternatives to, well, going blind.   

To find out if you’ll be able to get a good view of the eclipse, take a look at these tables curated by NASA, one for Canada and Mexico, and one for the United States. If your locale isn’t mentioned on the map, you can use this tool to look it up instead. You can also use it to look up any eclipse that happened in your location between 1499 BCE and 3000 CE. 

Who Loves LED Lights? The Nobel Committee -- And Flying Insects

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Drawn Like A Moth To An LED

Humans love their LEDs. So much so, they’re winning Nobel Prizes in physics. Given their electrical efficiency and long lifespan, these remarkable light-emitting diodes are being used more and more as primary light sources, and experts argue they could help reduce the world’s overall electricity and material consumption for lighting.

It turns out that LEDs' popularity expands beyond just the human species, and that’s not exactly good news. According to a new study in the journal Ecological Applications, flying invertebrates (namely bugs) are much more attracted to LED lights than traditional outdoor lighting. This attraction may have some long-lasting negative consequences on various ecosystems.

According to the study’s authors, the bugs’ LED love lies in the diodes’ color. It’s well known that insects are drawn to yellow or white light, but they’re even more attracted to another light color: blue. Many white LEDs are actually blue LEDs that have a yellow phosphor coating, and the combination of blue and yellow ultimately make white light. However, insects have special photoreceptors that can see the blue light amidst the resulting white light.

To see if this affected insect behavior, the researchers placed sticky paper next to street lamps with LED bulbs and those with traditional sodium vapor lamps. Over time, various moths, flies, and other flying insects became trapped on the paper, and sure enough the LED lamps had a much bigger following. In fact, the sticky papers next to the LED lights had 48 percent more insects than their sodium vapor counterparts.

LEDs could be attracting more insects into urban areas, interfering with natural food webs, leading to more pest infestations and the spread of invasive species like gypsy moths. So perhaps everyone’s favorite eco-friendly diode isn’t so amicable after all.

The researchers aren’t calling for the disuse of LEDs altogether. But they do stress the need for a collaborative effort between ecologists and electrical engineers to figure out how future LEDs can be developed to minimize ecological effects.

Physics Explains Ingrown Toenails

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Humans have been dealing with painful nail problems for a long time. And surgeons have been trying to fix those problems since at least the 7th century, when the Greek physician Paul of Aegina wrote about surgical treatments for nail conditions. Although many of these conditions, such as ingrown nails, are well known, they’re not terribly well understood.

In a paper in Physical Biology, scientists have published the first mathematical model of how human nails grow. The researchers have found that nail health is a delicate balance between the adhesive forces that hold the nail securely in the finger, versus the nail’s movement as it slides forever forward toward the fingertip. Other factors, like thickness, biomechanical stress, and the way you trim your nails can influence whether you develop nail problems.

Nails are made of dead skin cells hardened by the protein keratin. They grow outward from the half-moon-shaped “lunula” at the base of the nail toward the fingertip. (Fun fact: Human nails grow 0.1 to 0.2 millimeters per day, on average.) But battling this movement are adhesive molecules that pin the nail to the nail bed. These molecules are thought to behave like ratchets: They grab onto the nail above them, and as the nail slides forward during growth, they tilt and stretch, trying to hang on, until eventually the bond breaks. Then they grab onto another nearby piece of nail.

If the balance between growth and adhesion gets knocked out of whack, it puts extra stress on the nail. The nail might change shape to compensate, which can lead to serious problems. “We have discovered that three well-known conditions-- ingrown nails, pincer nails, and spoon-shaped nails -- are essentially three faces of the same coin,” says Cyril Rauch, lead author on the new paper. “They are related by the physics.”

"Ingrown nails, pincer nails, and spoon-shaped nails are essentially three faces of the same coin."

Ingrown toenails happen when the nail extends into the flesh alongside the nail. They’re most common in kids, teenagers, and pregnant women, and Rauch’s model posits that’s because raging hormones are causing the nail’s growth to outpace adhesion. On the foot, the flat shape of the big toenail makes this toe especially prone to ingrown nails, according to Rauch’s model. The nail’s squareness means a lot of the stress of walking gets diverted to the tip of the nail, which expands horizontally to compensate.

Pincers result from the opposite problem. In this condition, the sides of the nail curve down and towards each other, forming a “C” shape. Rauch’s model suggests that in this condition, adhesion overpowers growth, which may explain why pincers are more commonly found in the elderly, whose growth is slower.

Along similar lines, spoon-shaped nails—wherein the edges of the nails curve upward, forming an indentation—may form in elderly patients as the adhesion drops as a result of aging. 

While these nail conditions are caused by underlying biology that can’t really be controlled, nail trimming can exacerbate these problems. So what’s the best way to trim your nails? “Imagine you can flatten your nail out on your desk,” says Rauch. “The curved bits should follow a parabola shape.”

Rauch, who teaches veterinarian medicine at the University of Nottingham, is now adapting the model for farm animals. “When animals develop hoof problems, it costs a lot of money,” says Rauch. It turns out the horse hoof is actually pretty similar to the human nail. “The main difference, of course, is that the horse walks on its nail and the human doesn’t, so we need to add that new stress to the model.”

What To Wear When You're On The Run From The NSA

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CV Dazzle Makeup
They may look like high fashion, but these styles are actually designed to fool facial recognition software.
Adam Harvey

In the documentary film "Citizenfour" by Laura Poitras, it’s revealed that Edward Snowden’s longtime girlfriend Lindsay Mills also left the United States and joined Snowden in Russia. Cheekily, Vogue suggests a trio of outfits for Mills, to match both the climate and the need for discretion that comes with proximity to the source of a major intelligence leak.

Here are Vogue’s recommendations:

For a discreet stroll around Moscow, we think Mills would do best to embrace her adopted countrymen’s fondness for fur—and a touch of Bonnie Parker panache—in a camouflage look from Valentino. (A fur-lined coat will fit the bill as a closet staple for more casual occasions.) And should she ever feel homesick? A bold pop of color from Missoni and Matthew Williamson paired with a hibiscus dial watch from Versace should have Mills feeling right at home, regardless of the terrain ahead.

The outfits are pricey; this story is as much about high-end winter fashions as it is spycraft. Listed prices for the items cost, combined $13,563, and there are several other items with prices available upon request. That’s a lot of money for anyone, particularly someone who's trying to avoid detection while living in exile abroad.

Here are some alternate suggestions:

Instead of: Valentino camouflage coat (price available upon request)

Try:Anti-Surveillance Hoodie And Scarf, by Adam Harvey

Adam Harvey has a whole line of stealth wear, designed as both a comment on and protection from modern surveillance. Many of the designs mask a person's thermal signature, so they blend into the background when seen through infrared cameras. The designs are pretty conspicuous when seen through the normal visual spectrum, though, so probably best to wear a jacket over a stealth hoodie.

Instead of: Pierre Hardy mixed media fur-front sneakers

Try:CV Dazzle face makeup, by Adam Harvey

Fur-covered sneakers will stand out in a crowd while failing to conceal anything about a person's identity. If one is going to hide in plain sight while looking like a peacock, there are better ways to do that. Also by Adam Harvey, Computer Vision (CV) Dazzle is a whole category of makeup application that confuses facial recognition software by using sharp contrasting shapes. CV Dazzle draws its inspiration from World War One battleship camouflage, designed to confuse enemies and especially submarines about exactly how far away their target was. Dazzle paint looks nothing like the background environment yet still obscures the appearance of the wearer. 

It’s not without limitations. Atlantic technology writer Robinson Meyer tried wearing CV Dazzle in public in DC for multiple days, and found it very, very conspicuous:

The first thing to know about wearing the dazzle is that everyone looks at you. You can never forget you have it on. People glance at your face, their eyes lingering as you wait on escalators, pass on sidewalks, sit in museums or restaurants. It’s more than a quick double-take or turn of the head: Their eyes lock, and they stare. For a while. You’re in costume, basically, as out of place as a mascot walking down the street. You are anything but invisible.

Instead of: Versace Mystique watch

Try:Masking one’s presence online

Vogue recommends the watch, paired with a print dress and spring-colored coat, as a “Memories of Hawaii” ensemble, nodding both to the fact that Snowden and Mills left Hawaii and that Russia can be very, very cold. Dressing with nostalgia for an old home is fine, but anonymity-protecting apps can make it look like a person is still accessing the internet from their old haunts. When writer Kevin Roose tried to spend a day online hiding in plain sight in San Francisco, he used HideMyAss, a secure virtual personal network that allowed him get online in the Bay Area but “make it look like I'm logging on from Brazil or Bangladesh.”

Instead of: Moncler Gamme Rouge lapin fur ushanka hat

Try:Full Face Visor

In October 2007, Popular Science writer Catherine Price tried living for a week while masking her identity from surveillance technologies. Using cash, Price bought and activated a pre-paid phone under an alias: “Mike Smith”. Many of her steps would be repeated by other writers trying out anonymity, and she herself got help from security researchers to figure out how exactly to keep information private in a world that wants it at every turn. Most of the time Price just wore a cap and sunglasses to obscure her face in surveillance cameras. A trip from the East Bay into San Francisco for the International Association of Privacy Professionals required snagging a ride from an informal carpool network, and for the trip Price wore a face visor. As she describes it:

Let me be clear: This was no ordinary face visor. Designed to provide complete sun protection, it was more of a mask, with a wraparound piece of dark plastic that extended from my forehead all the way down to my chin. It made me look like a welder. It also made it difficult to see. But I still managed to find a car, and surprisingly, no one commented on the visor. In fact, they didn't talk to me at all.

Will Your Next Best Friend Be A Robot?

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Pepper
Pepper, Japan's first affordable social robot, goes on sale in February. It can read emotions and will be a platform for new apps.
Courtesy Softbank

The Japanese crowd sits hushed and somber as the character on stage turns away from his co-star, an actress seated on the floor in front of a small table. He lowers his head, then turns to face the audience with a look that is both blank and inscrutable, yet somehow conveys a profound sense of alarm. Something here is very wrong.

The dimly lit theater somewhere on the outskirts of Tokyo is packed. Young couples on dates, elderly theater connoisseurs, and even a few teenagers have crammed into the rickety building to catch a glimpse of the future, as visualized by playwright and director Oriza Hirata. They entered in good humor, chatting and laughing. But now they’re quietly transfixed.

The character at the center of the tension is a three-foot-tall robot with an oversize plastic head faintly reminiscent of a giant kewpie doll. He is one of two robots in the play. The other has just rolled off the stage wearing a floral print apron.

“I’m sorry,” the robot says, lifting a pair of orblike eyes to address the actress. “I don’t feel like working . . . at all.”

The robot is depressed.

In Hirata’s I, Worker, robots are more than just mechanical automatons that can vacuum and manufacture widgets. They have emotions, a development that poses challenges to both the robots and their owners. The play grapples with how to navigate such a relationship—what happens when both master and servant become depressed? It’s fiction, but Hirata’s vision reflects a dawning reality in Japan. There, scientists and policymakers see a new role for robots in society: as colleagues, caregivers, and even our friends.

The glum robot is named Takeo, and by the end of the play, it’s clear he is not the only one with problems. The man of the house is unemployed and pads around barefoot, a portrait of lethargy. At one point, his wife, Ikue, begins to weep. Takeo communicates this development to his fellow robot Momoko, and the two discuss what to do about it. “You should never tell a human to buck up when they are depressed,” says Takeo, who himself failed to buck up when the man attempted to cheer him with the RoboCop theme song earlier. Momoko agrees: “Humans are difficult.”

It’s not the most profound dialogue. But in a world where humans and robots live side by side, it’s not profoundly out of place either. Why wouldn’t robots pause to consider the foibles of humanity? As the crowd filters out of the theater, they turn and murmur to one another, comfortable in their personal connections. It occurs to me that for the last 30 minutes, I felt a vaguely similar connection to Takeo—a machine roughly the size and aesthetic of a particularly stylish garbage can. I even empathized with it. The strange future I came to Japan to see has already arrived.

***

Geminoid F is seated at the front of the room like a debutante, her hands resting daintily on her lap and her long black hair unspooling down a fuzzy, green sweater. She blinks from time to time and her chest moves up and down rhythmically. She slowly scans the room, as if searching for a friend across a crowded cotillion. When her eyes meet mine, there’s a flash of recognition, and for the briefest of moments, I feel as though Geminoid F can actually see me. Perhaps she even knows me.

Then her eyes move on, and the spell is broken. Instead of connected, I feel repulsed. There’s something too stiff and slow in Geminoid F’s motion, as if she is a zombie. “This robot is very humanlike compared to others,” says Hiroshi Ishiguro, the roboticist who created her. “But she is not perfect.”

When a robot looks like a person, we subconsciously expect it to move with the ease and speed of one. When it doesn't, our brains convey an error message.

Ishiguro, an artist-turned-engineer, works at the extreme edge of robotics and has gained renown for eerily lifelike creations. He has a Yoko Ono–esque, avant-garde quality about him. Though we’re inside, he is wearing tinted glasses and a black leather jacket(outside it’s sweltering). He’s brushed his hair into a vaguely Beethoven-like bouffant, puffy and collar-length. Were it not for Geminoid F’s occasional birdlike movements, Ishiguro’s laboratory at Osaka University could be mistaken for the gallery of an eccentric sculptor. A perfect replica of his daughter at age 4, chubby-cheeked and in a sundress, stands in a glass display case. Other robots of various sizes and shapes stare glassy-eyed, frozen mid-gaze.

For much of his career, Ishiguro has probed the conflicting emotions inspired by robots, like the affection and aversion I just felt toward Geminoid F. He says it’s the mismatch between the android’s appearance and movements that creates the “uncanny valley.” Coined by Japanese roboticist Masahiro Mori in the 1970s, the term describes the dread caused by a robot that comes close to human likeness but fails to fully achieve it. When a robot looks like a person, we subconsciously expect it to move with the ease and speed of one. When it doesn’t, Ishiguro says, our brains convey an error message, a neural signature that he believes he and his collaborators have identified using fMRI. It’s only a matter of time before technology, in the form of better actuators, can smoothly replicate human movement, Ishiguro says, resolving that discrepancy—and eliminating the uncanny valley altogether.

Geminoid F
Photograph by Luisa Whitton
But what Ishiguro finds more interesting is how Geminoid F elicits the first, more ephemeral reaction—the illusion of life. She has what Ishiguro calls sonzai-kan, or a presence. “My goal is not just to create a humanlike robot,” Ishiguro tells me, “but to understand the feeling of a presence. What is that? I want to understand what is a human, and what is a human likeness.”

Ishiguro gestures toward a robot that sits nearby. It’s small in stature—just over two feet tall and only seven pounds—and clearly inhuman: It has two stumps for arms and a lower-body shaped like a tadpole. But it also has eerily expressive eyes and is sheathed in a silicone material that feels smooth and pliant, like human skin. Ishiguro says he can begin to conjure sonzai-kan by activating as few as two of our senses. This robot often freaks people out, he says—until they hug it. Then their revulsion disappears.

Robots with sonzai-kan can help relieve loneliness, Ishiguro believes, by providing a physical proxy that distant friends and relatives can use to interact with one another. Or they can serve as extensions of oneself. Ishiguro has already attempted to incorporate an android into his life by creating an exact replica of himself from silicone and his own hair. He sometimes uses his doppelgänger to deliver lectures remotely. Several years ago, Ishiguro grew concerned that the resemblance would fade as he aged, so he underwent cosmetic surgery and stem cell treatments to ensure a continued likeness.

After he tells me this, I ask if he truly believes in the question he often puts to audiences: “Which is more me, the robot or the body I was born with?” Of course you are the real Ishiguro, I argue.

“Which has the stronger identity?” he responds. “My guess is the android. Without the android, you wouldn’t come here.”

But what about consciousness?, I press.

“What is consciousness?” he asks. “Can you show me your consciousness?”

Affetto
Affetto, modeled after a toddler, can make facial expressions designed to stimulate the brain activity that occurs when a parent observes its own child.
Photograph by Luisa Whitton
Humans are inherently social beings. That is our evolutionary legacy. Without an inborn proclivity to identify and connect with others like us, our species would have long ago died out. In ancient times, we hunted, cooked, and fought off predators together. To this day, we learn from others. We divide tasks and trade money for services. But society consists of more than just that. Without love, without affection and companionship, celebration and grieving, life often feels meaningless. Extreme isolation has been known to drive people insane.

In recent years, a growing number of researchers have demonstrated that making robots more social—creating the perception that they are more sentient than a mere machine—can vastly improve how we work with them. Some activities, they argue, we simply perform better when we are in the presence of someone who supports us and shares our goals. In Japan, roboticists are taking the idea a step further. Isn’t life simply sweeter when we’re with another? Why be alone, they ask, when you don’t have to be?

“Of course, it’s better if you have a friend, or a parent, or someone to live with you,” says Hitoshi Matsubara, a roboticist at the Future University Hakodate and the author of Information Science of Robot. “But if not, robots can be an alternative easily. We understand robots are machines. But we can create harmony between the two, robot and human.”

"Of course, it's better to have a friend. But if not, robots can be an alternative easily. We can create harmony between the two, robot and human."

That philosophy is shared by another leader in the field, Minoru Asada, a professor of Adaptive Machine Systems at Osaka University. With his snowy hair, button-down shirt, and conservative slacks, Asada lacks the panache of Ishiguro. But I realize, as I contemplate the face of a baby robot named Affetto, Asada holds his own when it comes to creepy, lifelike machines. Affetto’s soft, quivering white lips and soulful brown eyes sit atop a body that looks like it’s been built with pieces pilfered from my son’s erector set. It’s like a Terminator Mini-Me.

Asada wants to understand how subtle, nonverbal cues lead people to construct a relationship with each other. Solving this mystery, he believes, would not only facilitate human-robot relationships in new ways, but also reveal fundamental truths about what it is to be human. Recently, Asada developed a new brain-scanning technique that enables him to track, in real time, the emotional bonds that form between a mother and child. By placing each in a machine and projecting the other’s facial expressions onto a screen, Asada hopes to learn whether brain waves between infant and mother become synchronized. He also hopes to see which areas of the brain activate with different interactions.

“These kinds of findings will be very helpful for us in designing a robot that can synchronize or create artificial empathy,” Asada says. “What kind of behavior should the robot copy or imitate? How should it react?” Using the information, Asada plans to vary Affetto’s expressions to elicit similar neural responses.

Asada’s research could have real-world applications. A robot that conveys empathy and fosters bonding could, for example, be a more effective coach or teacher. It might even provide the sort of harmonious companionship Matsubara claims can fill the void left by the absence of another human. But such robots have yet to leave the lab. While Ishiguro, Asada, and other academics probe the psychology of human-robot interactions, a few engineers are already building machines that rely on far less nuance to produce some of the same effects.

***

“Are you stressed out?” the robot asks as it rolls into my personal space, palms up, and swivels its neck to gaze into my eyes. “How much did you sleep last night? Did you sleep six hours?” You need to sleep more, it says. Sleep is good for stress.

My interlocutor, a humanoid robot named Pepper, is about the height of my six-year-old son and seems just as chatty. It is a long way from both Geminoid F and Affetto. The robot’s shell is made from shiny, pearl-white plastic that resembles the armor worn by Darth Vader’s stormtroopers. It moves on wheels embedded in a base unit, rather than legs, and lights surrounding its eyes flash fluorescent colors.

I’m standing just inside the entrance to a mobile phone store in a bustling Tokyo neighborhood. And despite its lack of human camouflage, I have to admit, Pepper does have a certain charm. It is difficult to look away when it stares up at me with those jumbo, jet-black eyes. Clearly the robot is waiting for me to answer. And even though I know on one level that’s silly, I can’t help but feel it would be somehow impolite not to respond.

Softbank, the nation’s largest cellphone company, unveiled Pepper in June. Company CEO Masayoshi Son told the assembled media that it was created to be “a member of the family.” When Pepper goes on sale next February for less than $2,000, it will be the first affordable, truly social humanoid robot to hit Japan’s consumer market.

“That price is astounding,” says Tim Hornyak, a journalist who wrote Loving the Machine: The Art and Science of Japanese Robots. “That robot should cost tens of thousands of dollars more.”

Telenoid R1
Telenoid R1 is designed to convey the human presence of a person operating them from afar.
Photograph by Luisa Whitton

Son has openly acknowledged that Pepper’s sticker price is so low that it will not be “a very beneficial business,” at least at first. Rather, Pepper is a bet on the future of social robotics. “Mr. Son wants to take the initiative to make this kind of emotional robot popular in the world,” says Kaname Hayashi, the manager overseeing the project. “Until now computers have just helped people in computing and calculating. But we believe that computers will soon be able to provide emotional support for humans.”

Pepper is designed to read nonverbal social cues. When it looks up at me in that cellphone store, sensors embedded in its head scan my face. Others measure the tension in my vocal chords. Pepper runs that data through a sophisticated computer program capable of guessing my emotional state. When it takes an action that it senses has generated a positive response, Pepper will repeat it later, and the robot, over time, will learn how to please me.

Since Pepper has limited computational abilities, engineers designed the robot to more closely resemble a child than an adult. “You can find kids who cannot understand everything adults are talking about,” Hayashi says, “but a kid wants to make the adults around him happy. And he talks a lot because he knows that’s the best way for him to [do that] when he doesn’t have the same mental capacity as adults. It’s the same with Pepper.”

All of these tricks ultimately serve the same goal: They subtly convey that this little guy wants to hang out with me—that he is a friend, an ally. “The important thing,” Hayashi says, “is the sense of being accepted, the sense of being understood by Pepper, and the feeling that he is reacting based on that understanding.” That illusion of understanding, what some might call artificial empathy, touches an “evolutionary button” roboticists are attempting to exploit­. Some robots push it without even trying.

Seeing Double
Roboticist and artist Hiroshi Ishiguro builds androids to closely resemble human beings -- including himself.
Everett Kennedy Brown/EPA/Newscom
Fostering a relationship between man and machine may require far less sophistication than what even Pepper has to offer. It’s not clear that robots need to look human at all. Matthias Scheutz, who heads the Tufts University Human-Robot Interaction Laboratory, notes that there is already literature on people developing feelings—what he calls “unidirectional bonds”—for their Roomba vacuum cleaners.

“People seem to experience gratitude toward their Roomba,” he says. “They think it works hard and it should take a break. They clean for it. They take it on vacation. It seems totally absurd. The Roomba doesn’t even look like a person, but it does something nice for us, and since it moves, it can seem like an autonomous agent.”

Social robotics pioneer Cynthia Breazeal, who directs MIT’s Personal Robots Group, notes that the company IRobot has encountered a similar reaction from battle-hardened vets begging for technicians to fix their bomb-disposal robots. “They have soldiers coming back in tears saying, ‘Please fix my robot Scooby Doo, because it saved my life,’ ” she says. “I mean these are powerful emotional attachments. And this is a completely teleoperated bomb disposal robot that wasn’t even trying to be social. It’s just part of the human experience and how we relate and engage with one another and the world. We are profoundly social beings.”

Such an attachment is troubling to some. Sherry Turkle, the director of MIT’s Initiative on Technology and the Self, argues that what robots provide is the illusion of a relationship. And she worries that some who find human relationships challenging may turn to robots for companionship instead. Tuft’s Scheutz warns that elderly people who feel depressed could become more so if they misunderstand a robot’s actions, or if the robot fails to correctly read human signals. “There are just so many ways these interactions can go wrong,” Scheutz says.

"People seem to actually experience gratitude to their Roomba. They think it works hard and it should take a break. They clean for it."

Those fears don’t particularly resonate in Japan. Unlike in Western nations, many citizens have always felt comfortable with the concept of robots. One reason for this, Hornyak suggests, is the country’s Shintoist heritage. The religion has imbued Japanese culture with deep animist beliefs, a tendency to ascribe spirit and personality to inanimate objects. The tradition, embedded in Japanese folklore and myth, can be seen around Tokyo even today. The city has a monument to eyeglasses in one park, Hornyak notes, and there’s an annual ceremony at Sensoji Temple to pay respect to needles that have seen their last use. “Would you ever find a monument erected to belts or something, in a U.S. park?” he asks. “I don’t think so.”

Hornyak says recent history also plays a role. Westerners view robots with suspicion—as job killers, for instance, or symbols of the dehumanizing effects of modern technology. We created Terminator and HAL. Many Japanese, meanwhile, celebrate Astro Boy—a wildly popular superhero robot—and the robotic manga cat Doraemon. Many of those benevolent characters were born amidst post–World War II imperatives. “The shock and destruction that the country endured at the end of World War II gave birth to a kind of romance and adulation of all things modern, shiny, high-tech, speedy,” Hornyak says. “This was a way to get back on their feet and rebuild the nation.”

Today, six decades after Astro Boy was first introduced, it continues to set the tone for robotics research in Japan. “I still want to develop Astro Boy,” Future University’s Matsubara says. “My dream is to assign a robot to someone when they are born, and that robot will play the role of bodyguard and also the role of friend, and he will record and memorize everything that boy or girl is experiencing. Eventually that boy or girl will get married, and that robot will still help him in his need, and when he gets old, the robot will do nursing care for him, and at last he will attend his deathbed. From cradle to grave,” he says, “one robot, one person."

***

On a gray, rainy morning, on the third floor of the Umegaoka Long-Term Care Health Facility in Yokohama, Japan, about 100 elderly patients sit around tables in a cavernous, linoleum-tiled cafeteria. Japanese-style, 1950s blues music emanates from speakers. Some patients gaze out the windows at the passing cars. Others draw, or watch a soap opera on television. A couple lies with their foreheads on the table. Most simply stare into space.

Around a table in the front of the room, several patients have piloted their wheelchairs over to catch a glimpse of Umegaoka’s star therapists. A young male nurse has just carried in two furry, snow-white robotic baby seals. He places one of the seals in the arms of an 80-something dementia patient in a pink sweater.

The patient smiles broadly, whispering in the seal’s ear as it cranes its little neck, seeking eye contact, and makes cooing sounds. “Don’t cry,” she whispers to the seal. “Don’t cry. Everybody is looking at you. . . . Oh, you’re so cute.” Then she places the seal on the table in front of her and begins to brush its hair.

The concept of a human-robot society, just beginning to take root elsewhere, already thrives in homes for the elderly across Japan.

Though just beginning to take root elsewhere, the concept of a human-robot society already thrives in extended-care homes across Japan. By 2025, 30 percent of the country’s population is projected to be elderly (up from 12 percent in 1990). This demographic shift will require an estimated 2.4 million caregivers—a 50 percent increase in an industry known for high turnover and low pay. Other nations will soon face a similar challenge, but Japan is unique, both in terms of the scale of the issue and the country’s approach to it. While elsewhere some call for loosening immigration laws to help ease a potential elder-care crisis, the Japanese overwhelmingly prefer another solution: robots.

This summer, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a task force on how to realize a “robot revolution”—one that entails introducing robots to more service sectors and tripling the market for them. In Kanagawa Prefecture, where the Umegaoka facility is located, government officials have already funded the deployment of three different kinds of robots in elder-care facilities: a powered exoskeleton for rehabilitating stroke victims, a two-foot-tall bipedal robot that can lead patients in Tai Chi, and Paro, the baby harp seal, whose only job is to give and receive love and emotional support.

To make Paro realistic, Takanori Shibata, a robotocist at Waseda University, flew out to a floating ice field in Northeast Canada to record real baby seals in their natural habitat. In addition to replicating those sounds in the robot, he designed it to seek out eye contact, respond to touch, cuddle, remember faces, and learn actions that generate a favorable reaction. Just like animals used in pet therapy, Shibata argues, Paro can help relieve depression and anxiety—but it never needs to be fed and doesn’t die.

At the elder-care facility in Yokohama, I watch a nurse place a Paro in the arms of a blind 90-year-old man in a wheelchair. “What is this?” he asks. Then, as the seal snuggles into him, he lets out a joyful, “Oh!”, clutches it tightly to his chest, and flashes a toothless grin.

Yasko Komatzu, the head nurse, pulls me aside to tell me a story: Not long ago, a patient arrived who would frequently wander the hallways, entering others’ rooms to move and collect interesting objects. One of her favorite targets was the room of a patient who compulsively arranged her belongings in a precise order. The thefts led to bedlam. “The victim would raise her voice yelling and screaming,” Komatzu says. “But the other patient didn’t really understand why she was so mad. The staff tried to inter­vene. But the problems continued, and the screaming upset the other patients.”

Paro’s arrival had a calming effect on all the patients, but especially the wanderer. She largely abandoned her forays when told the baby seal was waiting for her in the third-floor common room. During my visit, I see this patient humming to Paro and gently brushing its hair. She notices me watching and summons me over. “Paro is saying, ‘Nice to meet you,’ ” she says. Then she smiles serenely and returns to her robot.

This article was originally published in the November 2014 issue of Popular Science, under the title, "Friend For Life."

Sealed With A Hug
Paro, a therapeutic baby seal robot, interacts with patients in hospitals and homes for the elderly throughout Japan, Europe, and the U.S.
Courtesy Paro Robots U.S. Inc.
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