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Play A Chord And This Database Will Guess Which Comes Next

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C Major ChordWikimedia Commons
Hook Theory mined data to see how chords are used, then mapped them.

Pop music might come off as formulaic sometimes, and, to some extent, that's probably true. Hook Theory is a song database, and after analyzing 1,300 popular songs, looking at the chord progressions in each, it spit back some pretty cool visualizations.

It's a lot of fun to look at, and there's a blog post you can read about the statistics uncovered from it, but the most interesting part is probably that it can predict what chord will come next in a song.

For example: If you're playing in the key of F and move to an A minor chord from an F major, popular songs are 67 percent likely to follow it up with a D minor chord. The Beatles' "A Day In The Life" follows that progression; so does "Float On" by Modest Mouse. (You can play the songs on the Hook Theory site if you want to hear the progression for yourself.)

Interesting stuff, and could be useful to musicians wanting to learn more about what works, or who are intent on doing something different. Or who just want to watch the chord progressions in "Call Me Maybe."

[Hook Theory]




People Think Candy Bars With Green Nutrition Labels Are Healthier

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Green CaloriesDan Nosowitz
I see what you're trying to do there, Snickers bar.

No matter how smart we think we are, humanity continues to be fooled by simple marketing tricks. Various experiments have found wearing the color red is more likely to get you a date. Another new study suggests that a green hue can convince you that a candy bar isn't really that unhealthy.

As part of a study published in Health Communication, Jonathon Schuldt, an assistant communication professor at Cornell University, asked 93 college students to imagine they were in a grocery store checkout line, hungry and looking at candy bars. Then he showed them an image of a candy bar with a green or a red calorie label, and asked them how healthy they thought the candy relative to other candy bars, and whether they thought it had more or fewer calories. They thought the candy bar with the green label was a healthier option than the red one, despite the fact that had the same number of calories.

Later, Schuldt performed the experiment again online, showing candy bars with green or white calorie labels to 39 subjects. The more important healthy eating was to the participants, the more they thought of the white-labelled candy as the less healthy option.

Schuldt suggests we should probably take this into account as more regulations require companies to stamp food products with calorie counts. "As government organizations including the U.S. Food and Drug Administration consider developing a uniform front-of-package labeling system for the U.S. marketplace, these findings suggest that the design and color of the labels may deserve as much attention as the nutritional information they convey," he said in a press release.

Does this mean people pick out the green M&M's and call it dieting?



Let This Man Explain Why Your March Madness Bracket Sucks

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Good luck getting every team right! (No, seriously. You need the luck.)

Like many Americans, you probably filled out a March Madness bracket recently. And like many Americans, your bracket will almost certainly--almost very certainly--suck.

That's to suggest that it won't accurately predict the outcome of every single game, as DePaul University math professor Jeff Bergen demonstrates in this video. In fact, your chances of guessing at every match up and getting every team right is in the quintillions (18 zeroes). So, yeah, good luck with that.

But wait! You're not guessing. What if you know some stuff about basketball? Well, you'll still fail, probably. One in 128 billion odds there.

So maybe just play the lottery instead.



9-Year-Old Girl Gets Dinosaur Named After Her, Makes All Other Children/Adults Jealous

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Daisy Morris, Dinosaur Huntervia BBC
4-year-old Daisy Morris found some bones while strolling on the beach--a few years later, she now has a pterosaur named after her.

A few years ago, while strolling down a beach on the Isle of Wight (a small island in the English Channel), 4-year-old Daisy Morris stumbled on something unusual. She'd always been interested in dinosaurs, and had started hunting for fossils a year earlier with her mother. But this looked a bit different--blackened bones sticking out of the sand that didn't look quite familiar.

She took them to an archaeologist who discovered that the bones were fossils from the early Cretaceous period, about 100 million years ago, and that they belonged to a previously undiscovered creature. Four years later, the study was published in PLoS One, explaining that the bones came from a small species of pterosaur, a flying dinosaur, which has been named in Daisy's honor: Vectidraco daisymorrisae.

Pterosaurs have been found before on the Isle of Wight; in fact, the Isle is one of the richest dinosaur sites in all of Europe. You can even see dinosaur footprints at one part of the beach at low tide. So it's not too surprising that after Daisy's discovery, researchers dug a bit further and managed to come out with almost a full skeleton of the 12-foot-long flying 'saur, which will be displayed at the National History Museum.

[via BBC]



This Week In The Future: Which Texted First, The Dog Or The Egg?

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This Week In The Future, March 18-22, 2013Baarbarian
In the future, when communication is possible between a dog and an egg, tech etiquette will still be important.

Want to win this communicative Baarbarian illustration on a T-shirt? It's easy! The rules: Follow us on Twitter (we're @PopSci) and retweet our This Week in the Future tweet. One of those lucky retweeters will be chosen to receive a custom T-shirt with this week's Baarbarian illustration on it, thus making the winner the envy of friends, coworkers and everyone else with eyes. (Those who would rather not leave things to chance and just pony up some cash for the T-shirt can do that here.) The stories pictured herein:

And don't forget to check out our other favorite stories of the week:



How Robots Are Revolutionizing Our World [Sponsored Post]

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TRP Robotics Analyst
We're all familiar with images of lurching robots performing rote tasks on the factory production lines. But the capabilities of robots have evolved well beyond the banality of those grainy industrial films.

Today's Advertisementindustrial robots have incredible dexterity to match their brute strength, and can actually learn on the job. And then there's an entirely new breed of robots-some in humanoid form, and others that take highly practical forms all their own-that can walk, talk, save lives, and perform critical jobs in extreme environments, or simply take care of mundane tasks at home while we're out enjoying our lives.

From healthcare and homecare, to military use and emergency response, robots are fast becoming a fixture in our lives. A number of T. Rowe Price's analysts are closely following their every move, and one of them spoke recently about the latest innovations and opportunities in robotics, as well as where we might see them making an impact next.

For years now, robots have worked tirelessly in the shadows to increase or enhance the productivity of humans. Until recently, however, the futuristic, sci-fi-inspired vision of robotic technology has largely remained disconnected from the glamourless utilitarian role it's played in manufacturing. But robotic technology has now advanced to the point where we're truly starting to see it move into many new areas of the economy.

THE TWO PHASES OF ROBOTICS

The evolution of robotics can be divided roughly into two phases. In the first phase, we saw electric machines that were programmed to perform specific tasks but otherwise didn't really interact with the real world, such as those we've seen in automotive manufacturing for years. Japanese companies were early to market with the industrial robots used in many areas today, including auto manufacturing, distribution centers, foundries, pharmaceutical packaging, and many others.

There's a publicly traded Japanese company called FANUC that actually has a fairly robust portfolio of industrial automation robots. Their blade profiling systems, for instance, are used to finely sharpen and finish critical metal parts for gas turbines used by aerospace and energy manufacturers. Some of their other systems are used on a production line to hold, move, and precisely place extremely heavy objects with the same delicate care and relative ease that a person might use to put a carton of eggs into the refrigerator.

Industrial robots have progressively become more and more sophisticated. But the potential for much broader industrial and consumer acceptance is tied to the development and advances occurring in the second phase of the robotics evolution, which we're in the early days of right now. These robots aren't simply programmed to perform repetitive tasks-they can absorb data, recognize objects, and respond to information and objects in their environment with greater accuracy.

The Japanese were leaders and early adopters when it came to industrial robotics, but now we're seeing more activity and innovation coming from companies in the U.S. and Europe as well. And we expect robotics to eventually touch every industry and evolve into a truly global opportunity with a worldwide landscape of players over time.

ROBOTS ARE MODERNIZING HEALTHCARE

One great thing about robotics is that when you are aware of it, you know that it's improving your life. Cultural acceptance is really key here, and our ability to touch and interact with the robots is important. There are a number of areas in the global economy where people might actually be surprised to learn about the participation of robots.

For example, people have talked about the concept of self-driving cars for decades. If you happen to drive anywhere near San Francisco, you'll probably end up driving next to one made by Google; I have, several times. When you see one, you know what you're looking at, but I don't think that anyone expected to be commuting alongside self-driving cars in a public corridor so soon- and yet we are. And of course there is iRobot's Roomba home robot vacuum cleaner, which has now sold more than 7 million units in over 50 countries worldwide. There is even a neat start-up company called Romotive that has developed a small, mobile robotic platform that uses your iPhone as its "brain."

There are many ways that robots are increasingly being used to modernize healthcare and related services. Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci surgical robots are used by doctors in the U.S. as the standard of care to perform minimally invasive prostatectomies. They're also used here, and to a lesser extent around the world, to perform hysterectomies, lung surgery, and certain cardiac, ear, nose, and throat procedures, too.

Another great example comes from iRobot, a company whose RP-VITA clinical remote presence robot utilizes a mounted iPad to allow offsite specialists to interact with patients and administer care. This platform enables doctors and practitioners to administer more personalized services than would be available through the web or stand-alone kiosks. Eventually these robots might make their way into patients' own homes, or other locations like elderly care facilities, just as robotic home vacuum cleaners and floor washing units are today.

MILITARY AND PUBLIC SAFETY ARE BURGEONING MARKETS
One sector that has significantly increased its adoption of robotics is the military, where they've essentially gone from zero ground robots in 2002 to over 5,000 ground robots today. The expectation is that over time robots will be used more and more for reconnaissance, battlefield support, and sentry duty. This is in addition to the tasks commonly associated with them now, such as the detection and disposal of explosive devices, or radar tracking and missile defense. These robots will be fully autonomous, enable remote awareness, and be capable of going places, determining what's happening in their environment, and transmitting information about it as needed. There's every expectation that they will operate close to military personnel in the field and act as a force multiplier.

Similarly, we expect to see robots make an impact in the public safety area. The adoption of modern information technology within the first responder community has been lagging behind other segments, but with the FirstNet initiative (a single, nationwide interoperable public safety broadband network being built and operated to help police, firefighters, emergency medical service professionals and other public safety officials perform their jobs and stay safe) becoming viable, there are a number of robotics companies-established firms and startups-ready to provide robotic products that can help make a difference.

For instance, there are several companies pursuing the concept of quadrocopters to be used in emergency response situations for military and commercial applications. These are unmanned, remote-controlled flying drones that can serve as reconnaissance tools to provide real-time assessments and monitor dangerous situations. Another similar idea is iRobot's throwable surveillance robot concept. Imagine a five-pound robot with cameras and sensors that emergency personnel can literally toss into a burning building or a hostage situation and, through the use of a tablet, immediately have on-the-ground situational awareness and two-way communications capabilities with people on site, without putting lives at risk.

INNOVATION MUST BE BALANCED AGAINST SCALE AND PROFITABILITY

The development of robots is a multi-disciplinary exercise, which is why you tend to see a lot of the real cutting-edge innovation come out of academia-academic researchers aren't held captive by the need to generate profitable growth, and they aren't subject to conference calls around quarterly earnings. One such academic program that comes to mind is the University of Pennsylvania's General Robotics, Automation, Sensing and Perception (GRASP) Lab, where they are doing some really interesting work on autonomous quadrocopters that utilize a control system and sensors to fly indoors as well as outdoors.

People in academia can come up with incredibly innovative robots that look really neat, but the challenge is to take an innovative idea and turn it into a physical product that can be manufactured for profit. It is very difficult, however, to bring an innovative concept to market, protect the intellectual property, create a distribution model, build a brand, identify customers, and find the right price point based on the market.

As a firm, we own iRobot and have followed the company for quite some time. They're a "rule breaker" in the robotics space, having scaled into a half-billion dollar revenue business-a good amount of that is driven by sales of home robots, like their vacuum-cleaning Roomba and floor-cleaning Scooba robots, and is complimented by sales of unmanned ground robots to the defense and security sectors.

One thing we like about their approach is that they apply the necessary financial rigor to the markets in the projects they pursue while remaining innovative. One project they previously worked on (but ceased because it was difficult to make the numbers work) was a robotic sea turtle, called the Transphibian. It had fins that enabled it to swim and maneuver in both shallow and deep water, and even crawl along the bottom of the ocean. They have also worked on "robot slime" for the government, which mechanically oozes like actual slime mold as it climbs up walls and across ceilings, and also on robots that have a softer, human-like grip…much softer than, say, the robots on the manufacturing line.

I think we will see much broader acceptance of robots when concepts evolve from being neat prototype ideas to real products that make a profound impact in people's lives. These will be robots that help us do things better, faster, and with greater knowledge about the world around us. Ironically, they might even help us improve relationships we have with other people in remote locations, making us more human in the process.

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Bio: Rhett K. Hunter is a vice president of T. Rowe Price Group, Inc., and T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc., a research analyst in the U.S. Equity Division, a vice president and Investment Advisory Committee member of the Global Technology Fund, Science & Technology Fund, and New Horizons Fund. Hunter received a B.A. in economics and Asian studies at Bowdoin College and an M.B.A. from MIT's Sloan School of Management. He covers technology as a small-cap generalist.

Disclaimer: All funds are subject to market risk, including possible loss of principal. Funds that invest in a single sector are subject to greater volatility than those with a broader investment mandate. Investing in small companies is generally carries more risk than investing in larger companies. Funds investing overseas are subject to additional risks, including currency risk and geographic risk.

Google represented 4.88% of the T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund, 1.64% of the T. Rowe Price Growth & Income Fund, 4.94% of the T. Rowe Price Growth Stock Fund, 4.26% of the T. Rowe Price Global Technology Fund, 5.50% of the T. Rowe Price Science & Technology Fund as of December 31, 2012; it was not held by the T. Rowe Price Health Sciences Fund or the T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund as of December 31, 2012. Intuitive Surgical represented 0.34% of the T. Rowe Price Health Sciences Fund and 0.04% of the T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund as of December 31, 2012; it was not held by the T. Rowe Price Growth & Income Fund, T. Rowe Price Growth Stock Fund, T. Rowe Price Global Technology Fund, T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund, or T. Rowe Price Science & Technology Fund as of December 31, 2012. Fanuc represented 0.13% of the T. Rowe Price Global Technology Fund as of December 31, 2012; it was not held by the T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund, T. Rowe Price Global Technology Fund, T. Rowe Price Growth & Income Fund, T. Rowe Price Growth Stock Fund, T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund, or T. Rowe Price Science & Technology Fund as of December 31, 2012. iRobot was not held by the T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund, the T. Rowe Price Global Technology Fund, the T. Rowe Price Growth & Income Fund, the T. Rowe Price Health Sciences Fund, the T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund or the T. Rowe Price Science & Technology Fund as of December 31, 2012.
The funds' portfolio holdings are historical and subject to change. This material should not be deemed a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities mentioned.

T. Rowe Price Investment Services, Inc., distributor

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The Chemistry of Kibble

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Decisions, DecisionsSam Kaplan
The billion-dollar, cutting-edge science of convincing dogs and cats to eat what's in front of them.

Despite the cryptic name and anonymous office-park architecture, the nature of the enterprise located at AFB International is clear the moment you sit down for a meeting. The conference room smells like kibble. One wall, entirely glass, looks onto a small-scale kibble-extrusion plant where men and women in lab coats and blue sanitary shoe covers tootle here and there pushing metal carts. AFB makes flavor coatings for dry pet foods. To test the coatings, the company needs to make small batches of plain kibble to put them on. The coated kibbles are then served to consumers: Spanky, Thomas, Skipper, Porkchop, Mohammid, Elvis, Sandi, Bela, Yankee, Fergie, Murphy, Limburger, and some 300 other dogs and cats that reside at the company's Palatability Assessment Resource Center (PARC), about an hour's drive from its St. Louis-area headquarters.

AFB's vice president at the time, Pat Moeller, a few other staff members, and I are seated around an oval table. Moeller is middle-aged, likable, and plainspoken. He has a small mouth with naturally deep-red lips and a pronounced Cupid's bow, but it would be inaccurate to say he has a feminine appearance. Rather, he has the look of an Army man, which he was when he helped develop foods for NASA's Apollo program. The fundamental challenge of the pet food professional, Moeller is saying, is to balance the wants and needs of pets with those of their owners. The two are often at odds.

Dry, cereal-based pet foods caught on during World War II, when tin rationing put a stop to canning. Owners were delighted. Dry pet food was less messy and stinky and more convenient. As a satisfied Spratt's Patent Cat Food customer of yesteryear put it, the little biscuits were "both handy and cleanly."

To meet nutritional requirements, pet food manufacturers blend animal fats and meals with soy and wheat grains and vitamins and minerals. This yields a cheap, nutritious pellet that no one wants to eat. Cats and dogs are not grain eaters by choice, Moeller is saying. "So our task is to find ways to entice them to eat enough for it to be nutritionally sufficient."

Pet foods come in a variety of flavors because that's what humans like, and we assume pets like what we like. We're wrong.

This is where "palatants" enter the scene. AFB designs powdered flavor coatings for the edible extruded shapes. Moeller came to AFB from Frito-Lay, where his job was to design, well, powdered flavor coatings for edible extruded shapes. "There are," he says, "a lot of parallels." Cheetos without the powdered coating have almost no flavor. Likewise, the sauces in processed convenience meals are basically palatants for humans. The cooking process for the chicken in a microwaveable entrée imparts a mild to nonexistent flavor. The flavor comes almost entirely from the sauce-by design. Says Moeller, "You want a common base that you can put two or three or more different sauces on and have a full product line."

Pet foods come in a variety of flavors because that's what humans like, and we assume our pets like what we like. We're wrong. "For cats especially," Moeller says, "change is often more difficult than monotony."

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Nancy Rawson, seated across from me, is AFB's director of basic research and an expert in animal taste and smell. She says that cats prefer to stick to one type of food. Outdoor cats tend to be either mousers or birders, but not both. But don't worry: Most of the difference between Tuna Treat and Poultry Platter is in the name and the picture on the label. "They may have more fish meal in one and more poultry meal in another," says Moeller, "but the flavors may or may not change."

To gauge the acceptability of a new product, food science has traditionally relied on consumer panels: willing individuals who sample an array of products and report back on which they prefer. It's no different with pets. It's just that you can't ask them.

Pyrophosphates have been described to me as "cat crack." Coat some kibble with it, and the pet food manufacturer can make up for a whole host of gustatory shortcomings. Rawson has three kinds of pyrophosphates in her office. They're in plain, brown glass bottles, vaguely sinister in their anonymity. I have asked to try some, which, I think, has won me some points. Sodium acid pyrophosphate, known affectionately as SAPP, is part of the founding patent for AFB, yet almost no one who works for the company has ever asked to taste it. Rawson finds this odd. I do, too, although I also accept the possibility that other people would find the two of us odd.

Rawson is dressed today in a long, floral-print skirt with low-heeled brown boots and a lightweight plum-colored sweater. She is tall and thin with wide, graceful cheek and jaw bones. She looks at once like someone who could have worked as a runway model and someone who would be mildly put off to hear that. Before she was hired at AFB, Rawson worked as a nutritionist at Campbell Soup Company and, before that, did research on animal taste and smell at the Monell Chemical Senses Center in Philadelphia.

Rawson unscrews the cap of one of the bottles. She pours a finger of clear liquid into a plastic cup. Although pet food palatants most often take the form of a powder, liquid is better for tasting. To experience taste, the molecules of the tastant-the thing one is tasting-need to dissolve in liquid. Liquid flows into the microscopic canyons of the tongue's papillae, coming into contact with the buds of taste receptor cells that cover them. That's one reason to be grateful for saliva. Additionally, it explains the appeal of dunking one's doughnuts.

Taste is a sort of chemical touch. Taste cells are specialized skin cells. If you have hands for picking up foods and putting them in your mouth, it makes sense for taste cells to be on your tongue. But if, like flies, you don't, it may be more expedient to have them on your feet. "They land on something and go, ‘Ooh, sugar!' '' Rawson does her best impersonation of a housefly. "And the proboscis automatically comes out to suck the fluids." Rawson has a colleague who studies crayfish and lobsters, which taste with their antennae. "I was always jealous of people who study lobsters. They examine the antennae, and then they have a lobster dinner."

The study animal of choice for taste researchers is the catfish, simply because it has so many receptors. They are all over its skin. "They're basically swimming tongues," says Rawson. It is a useful adaptation for a limbless creature that locates food by brushing up against it; many catfish species feed by scavenging debris on the bottom of rivers.

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I try to imagine what life would be like if humans tasted things by rubbing them on their skin. Hey, try this salted caramel gelato-it's amazing. Rawson points out that a catfish may not consciously perceive anything when it tastes its food. The catfish neurological system may simply direct the muscles to eat. It seems odd to think of tasting without any perceptive experience, but you are doing it right now. Humans have taste receptor cells in the gut, the voice box, the upper esophagus. But only the tongue's receptors report to the brain. "Which is something to be thankful for," says Danielle Reed, Rawson's former colleague at Monell. Otherwise, you'd taste things like bile and pancreatic enzymes. (Intestinal taste receptors are thought to trigger hormonal responses to molecules like salt and sugar, as well as defensive reactions-vomiting, diarrhea-to dangerous bitter items.)

We consider tasting to be a hedonic pursuit, but in much of the animal kingdom, as well as our own prehistory, the role of taste was more functional than sensual. Taste, like smell, is a doorman for the digestive tract, a chemical scan for possibly dangerous (bitter, sour) elements and desirable (salty, sweet) nutrients. Not long ago, a whale biologist named Phillip Clapham sent me a photograph that illustrates the consequences of life without a doorman. Like most creatures that swallow their food whole, sperm whales have a limited to nonexistent sense of taste. The photo shows 25 objects recovered from sperm whale stomachs. It's like Jonah set up housekeeping: a pitcher, a cup, a tube of toothpaste, a strainer, a wastebasket, a shoe, a decorative figurine.

Enough stalling. Time to try the palatant. I raise the cup to my nose. It has no smell. I roll some over my tongue. All five kinds of taste receptor stand idle. It tastes like water spiked with strange. Not bad, just other. Not food.

"It may be that that otherness is something specific to the cat," says Rawson. Perhaps some element of the taste of meat that humans cannot perceive. The feline passion for pyrophosphates might explain the animal's reputation as a picky eater. "We make [pet food] choices based on what we like," says Reed, "and then when they don't like it, we call them finicky."

Time to try the palatant. I roll some over my tongue. It tastes like water spiked with strange. Not bad, just other. Not food.

There is no way to know or imagine what the taste of pyrophosphate is like for cats. It's like a cat trying to imagine the taste of sugar. Cats, unlike dogs and other omnivores, can't taste sweet. There's no need, since the cat's diet in the wild contains almost nothing in the way of carbohydrates (which are simple sugars). They either never had the gene for sweet-detecting, or they lost it somewhere down the evolutionary road.

Dogs rely more on smell than taste in making choices about what to eat and how vigorously. The takeaway lesson is that if the palatant smells appealing, the dog will dive in with instant and obvious zeal, and the owner will assume the food is a hit. When in reality it might have only smelled like a hit.

Interpreting animals' eating behaviors is tricky. By way of example, one of the highest compliments a dog can pay its food is to vomit. When a gulper, to use Moeller's terminology, is excited by a food's aroma, it will wolf down too much too fast. The stomach overfills, and the meal is reflexively sent back up to avoid any chance of a rupture. "No consumer likes that," he says, "but it's the best indication that the dog just loved it."

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"Everyone wants to be Meow Mix." Amy McCarthy, head of PARC, stands outside the plate-glass window of Tabby Room 2, where an unnamed client is facing off against Meow Mix, Friskies, and uncoated kibble in a preference test. If a client wants to be able to say that cats prefer its product, they must prove it at a facility like this one.

Two animal techs dressed in surgical scrubs stand facing each other. They hold shallow metal pans of kibble in various shades of brown, one in each hand. Around their ankles, 20 cats mince and turn. The techs sink in tandem to one knee, lowering the pans.

The difference between dog and cat is obvious. While a dog will almost (and occasionally literally) inhale its food the moment it's set down, cats are more cautious. A cat wants to taste a little first. McCarthy directs my gaze to the kibble that has no palatant coating. "See how they feel it in their mouth and then drop it?"

I see an undifferentiated ground cover of bobbing cat heads but say yes anyway.

"Now look there." She directs my gaze to the Meow Mix, where the bottom of the pan is visible through an opening in the kibble. McCarthy, who is in her thirties, speaks louder than you expect a person to, perhaps a side effect of time spent talking over barking.

Down the hallway, dog kibble A, dressed in a coat of newly formulated AFB palatant, is up against the competitor. The excitement is audible. One dog squeals like sneaker soles on a basketball court. Another makes a huffing sound reminiscent of a two-man timber saw. The techs are wearing heavy-duty ear protection, the kind worn on airport tarmacs.

A tech named Theresa Kleinsorge opens the door of a large kennel crate and sets down two bowls in front of a terrier mix with dark-ringed eyes. She is short and brassy with spiky magenta-dyed hair. "Kleinsorge" is German for "little trouble," and it seems like a fitting name-trouble in the affectionate sense of well-intentioned mischief. She owns seven dogs. McCarthy shares her home with six. Dog love is palpable here at PARC. It is the first pet food test facility to "group house" its animals. Other than during certain preference tests, when animals are crated to avoid distractions, PARC is a cage-free facility. Groups of dogs, matched by energy level, spend their days roughhousing in outdoor yards.

The terrier mix is named Alabama. His tail thumps a beat on the side of the crate. "Alabama is a gobbler real bad," Kleinsorge says. In making their reports, the AFB techs must take into account the animals' individual mealtime quirks. There are gulpers, circlers, tippers, snooters. If you weren't acquainted with Alabama's neighbor Elvis, for example, you'd think he was blasé about both of the foods just now set before him. Kleinsorge gives a running commentary of Elvis's behavior while a colleague jots notes. "Sniffing A, sniffing B, licking B, licking his paws. Going back to A, looking at A, sniffing B, eating B."

Most dogs are more decisive. Like Porkchop. "You'll see. He'll sniff both, pick one, eat it. Ready?" She puts two bowls at Porkchop's front paws. "Sniffing A, sniffing B, eating A. See? That's what he does."

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PARC techs also try to keep a bead on doggy interactions in the yards. "We need to know," says McCarthy. "Are you down because you don't like the food or because Pipes stole your bone earlier?" Kleinsorge mentions that a dog named Mohammid has lately had an upset stomach, and Porkchop likes to eat the vomit. "So that's cutting into Porkchop's appetite." And probably yours.

In addition to calculating how much of each food the dogs ate, PARC techs tally the First-Choice Percentage: the percentage of dogs who stuck their snout in the new food first. This is important to a pet food company because with dogs, as Moeller said earlier, "if you can draw them to the bowl, they'll eat most of the time." Once the eating begins, though, the dog may move to the other food and wind up consuming more of it. Since most people don't present their dogs with two choices, they don't know the extent to which their pet's initial, slavering, scent-driven enthusiasm may have dimmed as the meal progressed.

The challenge is to find an aroma that drives dogs wild without making their owners, to use an Amy McCarthy verb, yak. "Cadaverine is a really exciting thing for dogs," says Rawson. "Or putrescine." But not for humans. These are odoriferous compounds given off by decomposing protein. I was surprised to learn that dogs lose interest when meat decays past a certain point. It is a myth that dogs will eat anything. "People think dogs love things that are old, nasty, dragged around in the dirt," Moeller tells me. But only to a point, he says. "Something that's just starting to decay still has full nutritional value. Whereas something that bacteria have really broken down-it's lost a lot of its nutritional value, and they would only eat it if they had no choice." Either way, a pet owner doesn't want to smell it.

Some dog food designers go too far in the other direction, tailoring the smell to be pleasing to humans without taking the dog's experience of it into account. The problem is that the average dog's nose can be up to 10,000 times more sensitive than the average human's. A flavor that to you or me is reminiscent of grilled steak may be overpowering and unappealing to a dog.

Earlier today, I watched a test of a mint-flavored treat marketed as a tooth-cleaning aid. Chemically speaking, mint, like jalapeño, is less a flavor than an irritant. It's an uncommon choice for a dog treat. (As is jalapeño, although according to psychologist Paul Rozin, Mexican dogs, unlike American dogs, enjoy a little heat. His work suggests that animals have cultural food preferences too.) The manufacturers are clearly courting the owners, counting on the association of mint with good oral hygiene. The competition courts the same dental hygiene association but visually: The biscuit is shaped like a toothbrush. Only Mohammid preferred the minty treats-which may explain the vomiting.

A dog named Winston is nosing through his bowl for the occasional white chunk among the brown. Many of the dogs picked these out first. They're like the M&M's in trail mix. McCarthy is impressed. "That's a really, really palatable piece." One of the techs mentioned that she tried some earlier and that the white morsel tasted like chicken. Or, rather, "chickeny."

I must have registered surprise at the disclosure, because Kleinsorge jumps in. "If you open a bag and it smells really good. . ."

The tech shrugs. "And you're hungry. . ."

* * *
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In 1973, the nutritional watchdog group Center for Science in the Public Interest (CSPI) published a booklet, Food Scorecard, that claimed that one third of the canned dog food purchased in housing projects was consumed by people. Not because those people had developed a taste for it, but because they couldn't afford a more expensive meat product. (When a reporter asked where the figure had come from, CSPI cofounder Michael Jacobson couldn't recall, and to this day the organization has no idea.)

To my mind, the shocker was in the nutrition scores themselves. Thirty-six common American protein products were ranked by overall value. Points were awarded for vitamins, calcium, and trace minerals and subtracted for added corn syrup and saturated fats. Jacobson-believing that poor people were eating significant amounts of pet food and/or exercising his talent for publicity-included Alpo in the rankings. It scored 30 points, besting salami and pork sausage, fried chicken, shrimp, ham, sirloin steak, McDonald's hamburgers, peanut butter, pure beef hotdogs, Spam, bacon, and bologna.

I mention the CSPI rankings to Rawson. We are back at AFB headquarters with Moeller, this time in a different conference room. (There are five of them: Dalmatian, Burmese, Greyhound, Calico, and Akita. The staff members refer to them by breed, as in "Do you want to go into Greyhound?" and "Is Dalmatian free at noon?") It would seem that in terms of nutrition, there was no difference between the cheap meatball sub I ate for lunch and the Smart Blend the dogs were enjoying earlier. Rawson disagrees. "Your sandwich was probably less complete, nutritionally."

The top slot on the CSPI scorecard, with 172 points, is beef liver. Chicken liver and liver sausage take second and third place. A serving of liver provides half the RDA for vitamin C, three times the RDA for riboflavin, nine times the vitamin A in the average carrot, and good amounts of vitamins B-12, B-6, and D, folic acid, and potassium.

What's the main ingredient in AFB's dog food palatants?

Organs are among the most nutritionally rich foods on earth. Lamb spleen has almost as much vitamin C as a tangerine.

"Liver," says Moeller. "Mixed with some other viscera. The first part that a wild animal usually eats in its kill is the liver and stomach, the GI tract." Organs in general are among the most nutritionally rich foods on earth. Lamb spleen has almost as much vitamin C as a tangerine. Beef lung has 50 percent more. Stomachs are especially valuable because of what's inside them: The predator benefits from the nutrients of the plants and grains in the stomach of its prey. "Animals have evolved to survive," Rawson says. They like what's best for them. People blanch to see "fish meal" or "meat meal" on a pet food ingredient panel, but meal-which variously includes flesh, organs, skin, and bones-most closely resembles the diet of dogs and cats in the wild.

Animals' taste systems are specialized for the niche they occupy in the environment. That includes us. As hunters and foragers of the dry savannah, our earliest forebears evolved a taste for important but scarce nutrients: salt and high-energy fats and sugars. That, in a nutshell, explains the widespread popularity of junk food. And the wide spreads in general-an attribute we now share with our pets. A recent veterinary survey found that more than 50 percent of dogs and cats are overweight or obese.

People devoted to a healthier lifestyle have also begun to project their food qualms and biases onto their pets. Some of AFB's clients have begun marketing 100 percent vegetarian kibble. The cat is what's called a true carnivore-its natural diet contains no plants. Moeller tilts his head. A slight lift of the eyebrows. The look says, "Whatever the client wants."

Mary Roach is the author of the bookGulp: Adventures on the Alimentary Canal, published this spring.

This article is from the April 2013 issue of Popular Science. See the rest of the magazine here.



Researcher Says Radar Tech Could Detect Guns At School

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Find the Gun in this Radar GraphUniversity of Michigan
Researchers at the University of Michigan want to use wave radar to find guns on students

A radar-based concept originally developed to detect suicide bombs abroad could be used to find people carrying concealed weapons in a crowd here at home, University of Michigan researcher Kamal Sarabandi says.

The Defense Department funded Sarabandi's research for years, because his technology can detect bombs under clothes. But now, after the Newtown school shooting, Sarabandi wants to see if his research could be used to find concealed guns in crowded places, including malls, airports, stadiums, and schools.

Sarabandi's technology is a fresh take on existing radar technology, such as the radar police use to trap speeders. Sarabandi's version works by bouncing radar waves off people. Radar signals bounce differently off of skin and metallic objects, so you can identify a gun--or something like a gun--by focusing the radar on a person's torso and comparing the reading to a baseline reflection generated in the lab. A torso with a large concealed metal object reflects the radar back differently, and looks slightly off when compared with a regular torso, as illustrated by the image above.

While still not tested on people in crowds, the method was able to distinguish between a mannequin torso wearing a leather jacket, and a mannequin torso concealing a dummy bomb under its leather jacket.

In the future, Sarabandi says radar guns based on his method could scan crowds for people concealing bombs or guns under their clothes, and those people could be quickly pulled aside and scanned more rigorously. Right now, he is working on designing a smaller system for an army robot. The most promising peacetime application? Promising a faster alternative to metal detectors. No idea how accurate it is, though.

Watch Sarabandi explain his concept below:




Popular Science Bracket: Land Robots Vs. Flying Drones, Round 3

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Land robots vs. flying drones, round 3Katie Peek

Welcome to round three of the world's nerdiest bracket! To recap: we've compiled a list of some of the strongest, fastest, and strangest landbots and sky drones around. Your job: vote for your favorites.

Round two got pretty heated, with a neck and neck race between CHARLI-L, America's first true humanoid robot, and BigDog, DARPA's galumphing pack-mule robot. BigDog ultimately triumphed, as did the eerily realistic android Geminoid DK over a robotic arm that can learn to flip pancakes (really, guys?). Now we've got eight contenders left. If you need a quick guide to what's what, go here.

Polls close Tuesday, March 26, at 9 a.m. Check back later that day for the winners and the next round's matchups. We'll keep doing this until we've determined the greatest land robot/flying drone in all the internet. Only vote once per poll in each matchup, please. And play nice in the comments. Or don't.

Ready? Go!





North American Hotel Workers Are More Likely To Sabotage Rude Customers

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Wait Staff In GermanyWikimedia Commons
Researchers examine cross-cultural differences between how hotel staffs react to abuse.

Have you ever been rude to someone in the hospitality industry? Well, first of all, don't do that, what's wrong with you? Second of all, if you're in North America, you especially shouldn't do that because the staff will spit in your food so fast your head will spin. In China, on the other hand, you'll just make all the other customers miserable, too.

Researchers from the University of British Columbia surveyed hotel employees--132 in Beijing and 82 in Vancouver--and asked how often they were abused by patrons, how often they retaliated by sabotaging said patrons, and how much enthusiasm they had for their jobs.

The amount of abuse was consistent across the cities (a-holes are cross-cultural!), but the reactions between staffs differed. The Vancouver staff was 20 percent more likely to seek sweet revenge by serving cold food or giving the mean customer a bad time in some other way, while the Chinese workers became more apathetic when they were mistreated. When asked questions like, "I voluntarily assist guests even if it means going beyond job requirements," they were 19 percent more likely to say no. That meant lower quality of service for everyone.

So maybe just don't be a jerk, whatever city you're in?



Crash Test

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Morpheus Down The 12-by-9-foot space lander carries 1,200 pounds of propellant for a 50-second test. Courtesy NASA

When NASA technicians saw the navigation system on the Morpheus lander prototype shut off less than a second after liftoff, they knew the craft was doomed. It was August, at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, and the 27th test flight; the previous 26 had gone well. But this time, the 3,400-pound vehicle flew 16 feet high and, without spatial data to guide it, fell to the ground, where it burst into a 50-foot fireball. The goal of Project Morpheus is to help develop a space vehicle that can land autonomously, and exploding prototypes are part of the process, says Jon Olansen, the project manager. "You just build another one and continue on," he says. "What we've learned hasn't been lost." An investigation finished in October concluded that vibration probably caused the crash by breaking a connection between the craft's navigation instruments and the CPU or other hardware. For the next prototype, engineers will tweak both the launchpad and the vehicle's internal design to protect against shaking. Reusing the old engine, the team is now building a new Morpheus, which it plans to test this spring.

CRASH VIDEO: The launch and crash begin at 5:50.



The Most Incredible Pictures Of Every Planet In Our Solar System

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Our Blue MarbleCan't get enough of this marble.NASA/NOAA/GSFC/Suomi NPP/VIIRS/Norman Kuring
Each and every planet--and one dwarf planet--in our solar system, represented with the single best image ever taken of it. Say hello to our neighbors.


Click to launch the gallery.



This Periodic Table Of Booze Will Get You Atomically Wasted [Infographic]

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Boozey goodness broken down by type, flavor, and, of course, alcohol by volume.

There are so many decisions to make when you're drinking. Do you want something light and fruity, or a full-tilt, 40-percent-plus brain-obliterator?

Good thing there's this periodic table-inspired chart to help you out. Designed by Mayra Magalhães, it breaks popular boozes down by category--fermented drinks, mixed drinks, etc.--along with flavor and the year the drinks were invented. The percentage of alcohol steps in for atomic weight.

Great. Finally booze gets the same treatment as oxygen.

Alcohol Periodic Table

[visual.ly]



Fantastic Programmable Goo Solves Difficult Math Problems

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Blob Math A hypothetical chemical blob solves a traveling salesman problem with 20 points. From "Computation of the Travelling Salesman Problem by a Shrinking Blob" by Jeff Jones and Andrew Adamatzky
A new way of looking at a classic math problem.

You've got 20 U.S. cities to visit in one big trip. What's the shortest route you can take?

No, this is not a problem from Ticket to Ride. It's the traveling salesman problem, a classic math puzzle that, as MIT Technology Review's arXiv blog explains, actually becomes computationally impossible to do by brute force, once the number of cities is high enough. There are just too many possible routes to calculate. Mathematicians have figured out some optimization equations to solve the problem, but none are perfect.

The arXiv blog highlighted another way. Two computing researchers from the University of the West of England came up with a sort of hypothetical, sticky goo that finds short routes between points when it contracts.

The researchers wrote in their paper that they were inspired by slime mold, a single-celled organism that other researchers have shown is able to solve mazes and other math problems in its search for food. Slime mold doesn't solve the traveling salesman problem without restrictions on its natural behavior, however. So the researchers coded this hypothetical slimy moldy material that follows certain chemical signals. Like the slime mold, the goo doesn't know it's doing math. It's just doing what it was programmed—either by its DNA (slime mold) or by researchers (hypothetical blob)—to do.

The researchers ran simulations of the goo on a computer, using numbers of cities that are computable by brute force, so they could compare their goo's solutions to perfect solutions. They found that the goo works almost as well as brute force. You can watch videos of the contracting process on researcher Jeff Jones' website. Find Jones and his collaborator Andrew Adamatzky's paper on arXiv, a website for sharing math and physics papers before they're peer reviewed.

The goo approach doesn't work for all city layouts, but for the routes it is suited for, it's simpler than optimization processes, Technology Review reported. Plus, it's pretty fascinating to watch.

[MIT Technology Review]



Journal Editors Have A Sense Of Humor!

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Side By Side: Blind Boy Fuller and Biophysical Journal
Or at least a sense of history.

The covers of scientific journals are usually staid, snooze-worthy affairs. But every now and again, one displays a sense of humor. Take, for instance, the March 19, 2013 issue of Biophysical Journal. On its cover is a clear homage to the cover of Blind Boy Fuller's LP "Truckin' My Blues Away," illustrated by Robert Crumb.

The cover is not the result of a psychotic break, however. Just as Robert Crumb's character has his distinctive gait, so to does the journal cover subject, myosin V. Myosin V is one of a class of ATP-dependent molecular motors found in eukaryotic cells. These motors use ATP to "walk" in an exaggerated gait up or down a cell's actin filaments, sometimes acting as a transport mechanism by dragging cellular organelles with them. Recent research suggests that myosin V, in particular, doesn't perform transport functions so much as it tethers cellular vesicles -- small functional blobs within a cell -- near a cell's periphery.

You can get a look at the non-cropped cover here.

Here's a video of a simulation of how myosin-V walks along an actin fiber, which should give you an idea of why the journal editors chose to illustrate myosin V in this particular manner

This video actually shows a different type of motor protein, called a kinesin, walking down a microtubule. So, different molecules involved, but it covers just how cool and dynamic the inside of a cell can be.

[Robert T. Gonzales and io9.com]




Having Too Many Choices Leads To Bad, Risky Decisions

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Las VegasWikimedia Commons
Giving subjects lots of ways to gamble turns them into risk-takers.

You'd think having options is almost always a good thing. After all, more choices means more information: all the better for making a decision. Except not really, researchers behind a new study say. In fact, given too many choices, you're more likely to make a risky decision.

A team from the University of Warwick and the University of Lugano set up a decision-making test with one of the age-old media of bad decisions: gambling. Each person in a group of 64 participants chose a box out of several boxes shown on a computer screen. The box could pay out a certain amount of money--1 British pound, or maybe 5 pounds--and had certain odds of paying out. So, for example, a 5-pound box may have had 1:3 odds of giving up the cash. The subjects could turn over the on-screen boxes to "sample" the odds. They might flip it three times, see that it spit out 5 pounds in total, and guess based on that sample that it paid out based on 1:3 odds. The subjects could sample as much as they wanted, then would make a final decision on which box to flip.

One group got five turns, where the number of boxes increased each turn. The subjects started choosing between two boxes, then the number went up to four, eight, 16, and 32. For the other group, the number of boxes decreased from 32 to two over the same five turns. With more boxes, the participants sampled the boxes more, but didn't increase the sampling proportionately to the number of boxes. They might do 12 samples for two boxes, but (only) 50 samples for 32 boxes.

So people with a large number of boxes scanned for the biggest payouts, then picked that box to flip. But when the participants were presented with that many choices, they didn't practice-flip the big payout boxes enough to get a sense of the payout odds. That meant they were more likely to end up with nada by betting on the high-risk, high-payout box.

Something similar happened based on whether the group was in the small-to-large number of boxes trial, or to the large-to-small trial. When participants started out with a small number of boxes, they gathered more information on odds, even as the number of boxes increases. When the participants started out with a large number, they gathered less information overall, even as the number of boxes decreased.

The researchers are calling this "search-amplified risk": the more options put in front of someone, the more they overestimate their chances of a jackpot. The participants with the large number of choices searched more, and ended up seeing the "risky" events more frequently, but didn't look into it enough to find the probability of actually winning. Whoops.



New Bioweapons Risk Is Nothing Bureaucracy Can't Solve

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Anthrax CultureU.S. Army via wikimedia commons
A report on the state of biological defense research finds lots of problems--but really manageable ones.

A week after September 11, 2001, letters containing lethal anthrax spores killed five people, and sparked a an FBI investigation that lasted nine years. Since then, bioweapons research has become a multi-billion-dollar industry: scientists work with dangerous biological agents, like anthrax spores and infectious diseases, to come up with a defense against future biological attacks. One problem: the labs are a hot mess.

According to a report that the Government Accountability Office released today, there is no universal standard for conducting or overseeing biodefense research in the United States. This is partly a problem of ricebowling, where various agencies maintain separate programs to meet their own needs, and these programs are both jealously guarded and kept apart from other, similar programs. The upshot? Researchers don't always know what other researchers are working on and run the risk of needlessly repeating each other's work.

A related problem: the labs don't have standard construction guidelines and operating procedures. For instance: locking the door might be SOP at one lab, and not at another. Disparate rules open the flood gates for human error--and make that error harder to track.

To fix these problems, the GAO report recommends a single federal standard for all high-containment biological research labs and suggests "a national strategy for oversight, including periodic assessments of the nation's need for these laboratories." In other words: Get all the labs on the same page. And if they don't comply, they could be shut down.

The recommendations come four years after the GAO's last assessment, and mostly repeat issues noted then. With simple federal action, like establishing standards for research labs and coordinating the nation's biodefense research strategy, these problems should be perfectly mitigated before any real problems occur.

Of course, such sober assessments could always be ignored in favor of general panic.



Crowded Hong Kong Is Planning To Build Datacenters Deep Inside Caves

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Data CavesArup via The Register
Cool land could help meet bandwidth needs, just look below you

Companies have made data centers--those big warehouses full of servers--into creative, even beautiful, spaces before. But, short on available land, Hong Kong is looking into where to put new data centers, and they're thinking caves might be the ticket.

It might not be as tough as you'd assume. In fact, as The Register points out, data centers in Norway and Kansas City have already made it happen. The land--er, the area underneath the land--could be purchased from whoever owns the above-ground area. The natural coolness of a cave could even help keep the data centers from overheating. The government has already selected five areas, with 20 hectares of land each, that might work for the data centers.

But there's still some issues to get past. Toxic materials would have to be removed from the site before construction, and fresh air would need to be somehow allowed in. Even the director of the engineering consultancy firm involved with the project, Arup, says they're a few years behind digging in and actually making this plan a reality.

[The Register]



Can Your Hybrid Cut Your Lawn? Here's One That Can

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The Raven MPV-710 is a Chevy Volt for your backyard.

A Toyota Prius is many things, but a convenient lawn mower isn't one of them. Useless, right?

Luckily, it is now possible to buy a hybrid lawn mower, known as the Raven MPV-710.

In many ways, a hybrid mower makes sense. After all, if you're making an effort to be green, you might as well try and cut down on gasoline usage in all your vehicles--even the ones that never hit the streets.

Almost a cross between ATV and mower, the Raven MPV-710 appears to be one of the highest-tech options on the market.

The hybrid tag may put you in mind of a Toyota Prius, but in reality this thing is more like a Chevy Volt--its electric motor provides the drive, while the single-cylinder 420cc gasoline engine is used to generate the electricity it uses.

Because of the electric direct drive, Raven says it transfers more power to the wheels than most mowers on the market, and it's smoother too. Top speed is 17 mph, three times quicker than most mowers, and there's enough torque to pull up to 500 pounds. Though to actually get any mowing done you'll still have to slow down to 5 mph...

As with any hybrid, the MPV-710's efficiency benefits are also important. Used as a generator, the Raven's engine is more frugal than other mowers, so you'll get up to 12 hours of running on a 5-gallon fill.

Some hasty math suggests economy of around 40 mpg, though that's only if it can run for the full 12 hours at its top speed. Not that anyone uses these to make long trips anyway, so just be happy it can sip gas at a slower rate than its entirely-gasoline equivalents.

It can also be used as a generator, for users wishing to power electric tools.

The price for all this technology, after a bit of digging, is around the $3,000 mark. Which doesn't seem excessive to us, given the technology. But hey--someone out there knows more about ride-on lawn mowers than us. What do you think of the new green option?

This article, written by Antony Ingram, was originally published on Green Car Reports, a publishing partner of Popular Science. Follow Motor Authority on Facebook and Twitter.

More from Green Car Reports and affiliates:

2013 New York Auto Show Preview

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16,000 Dead Pigs In The Huangpu: Can You Still Drink Shanghai's Water?

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View of the Huangpu River flowing through Shanghai Photo taken in 2009 Jakub Hałun in Wikimedia Commons
Since the beginning of the month, officials have fished out 16,000 pig carcasses found in the river that serves tap water to Shanghai. Is it really still safe to drink, as officials say?

Chinese officials have fished more than 16,000 pig carcasses from the Huangpu River, from which more than one in five Shanghai residents draw their drinking water. Remember when it was just 2,000 pigs and that seemed pretty crazy? Meanwhile, officials keep saying that the water is still safe to drink. How likely is that, really?

Pig carcasses dumped in water could release pathogenic bacteria into the water. Even healthy pigs carry some manure in their bodies, which in turn has E. coli that could cause diarrhea and other symptoms. The greatest danger would come from carcasses left long enough that they bloat and explode, releasing toxic gases, or start feeding an overpopulation of bacteria, which would reduce the water's oxygen levels for fish, says Saqib Mukhtar, an agricultural engineer at Texas A&M University. News photos show mostly intact carcasses, though news reports haven't specified the carcasses' condition.

Popular Science asked experts from two groups that work on water quality in China to weigh in on the pigs' potential effects on Shanghai's drinking water. (It's important to note that none of the experts we found work in the Huangpu directly, nor have they done their own testing of the Huangpu River. Instead, they answered using what they've learned from the news and from their own work on other Chinese rivers.)

It is possible that the drinking water in Shanghai is still fine, they say. However, government agencies have not been transparent about how often they've tested the river and what exactly they mean when they say they've returned the river to normal, says Kristen MacDonald, the China program director for Pacific Environment, a non-governmental organization.

There are a few things that might be keeping Shanghai's tap water useable. The Huangpu River system is large and continually flowing, so it can clear impurities quickly, Jun Shentu, a staff member at Green Zhejiang, a group that focuses on tributaries of the Huangpu, says in an email.

Tap water in Shanghai is taken from near the center of the river, at the bottom, where the water quality is better, Shentu says. And local water authorities have upped the chlorine in Shanghai's water, to improve sterilization.

It is hard to know for sure what the effects of the pigs have been because those data points aren't publicly available, MacDonald says. In addition, officials may not actually know exactly to what level of quality to return the river, because they didn't have good numbers on the water quality beforehand.

"One of the things that's always been rather opaque both to me and to the environmental watchdogs groups I work with is how often testing is done and how thoroughly," MacDonald says. (Shentu says officials tested the Huangpu for nine routine indicators of water quality, including turbidity, color and odor. They have also added non-routine tests to target the pig situation, looking for Streptococcus, Salmonella, E. coli O157 and thermotolerant coliform bacteria.)

A "return to quality" may not be that great, either. On the Chinese Ministry of Environmental Protection's six-point scale, with a six being unsuitable even for industrial use, different sections of the Huangpu rate at a four or five. The Huangpu gets industrial pollutants from factories as well as agricultural runoff, MacDonald says.

Although they offer daily updates on the Huangpu's water quality, Chinese officials haven't explained why farmers have recently chosen, against regulations, to dump so many pigs into the river, the Guardian reported March 22.

"It's not too surprising to me that the farmers that were raising the pigs decided this is the best option," MacDonald says. "To do it in a more safe and sanitary way would have cost them a lot of money. So it's definitely a case of there being a regulatory gap where it's not clear who is responsible for dealing with protecting rivers from this kind of dumping."



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